After losing a total of five House seats in Pennsylvania over the past two cycles, a string of recent recruiting successes has boosted GOP prospects for regaining some of that lost territory in 2010.
According to several sources familiar with their decisions, former U.S. Attorney Mary Beth Buchanan, former Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick and former U.S. Attorney Thomas Marino are poised to announce campaigns against Democratic Reps. Jason Altmire, Patrick Murphy and Christopher Carney, respectively.
What’s more, state Sen. Dave Argall (R) said Monday that he will challenge Rep. Tim Holden (D) in his conservative central Pennsylvania district, a move that is expected to give the Congressman his most competitive race in six years.
Republicans were also buoyed last week when Rep. Jim Gerlach announced that he would drop out of the gubernatorial race and run for re-election instead, thereby increasing GOP chances of holding his competitive suburban Philadelphia seat.
“We could have a half a dozen competitive races in Pennsylvania, which is very rare,” Pennsylvania-based GOP strategist Charlie Gerow said. “I don’t think there are too many states who can have the claim.”
In the last few months of 2009, Republicans could only point to strong recruits in two Congressional districts in the Keystone State: former U.S. Attorney Pat Meehan’s (R) bid to win the 7th district open seat and Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta’s (R) challenge to longtime Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D).
But within the next few weeks, Republicans could have strong candidates in six Democratic-held seats.
Jack Hanna, the southwest caucus chairman for the Pennsylvania Democratic Party, said he’s not surprised Republicans are jumping into campaigns these days because of the favorable political climate, but he added that he was hopeful the national mood would change by November.
“It is cause for concern,” Hanna said. “If the Democratic Party doesn’t pay attention to these kinds of things, they’re making a mistake.”
Part of the reason that many Pennsylvania Republicans are choosing to take the political plunge now is because the GOP’s statewide ticket has become increasingly competitive over the past few months. Just last year, Republicans were facing competitive primary battles in both the Senate and gubernatorial races.
But by the beginning of this year, those races had cleared and two former gubernatorial candidates — Meehan and Gerlach — were running for Congress. Republicans also skirted a bloodbath when Sen. Arlen Specter switched parties, clearing the way for former Rep. Pat Toomey to be the GOP’s Senate standard-bearer.
Now it is Democrats who are facing the most problematic primaries this year, with Specter being challenged by Rep. Joe Sestak and several candidates running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.
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