Emerson Poll: Biden Early Frontrunner in PA Dem Primary
If the former Vice President decides to make a bid for the White House, it appears he can count on Pennsylvania to support him in the Democratic primary.
According to a new Emerson College poll, former Vice President Joe Biden holds a significant lead over the rest of the potential Democratic 2020 hopefuls.
In the first Emerson poll of the year, Biden holds 39% of the vote in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, while the next closest potential candidate is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who carries 20%. Only one other candidate reaches the double threshold, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) with 11%. In fourth place is Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana with 6% support.
The poll, surveying 359 Pennsylvania registered voters, collected data from March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 5.1 percentage points.
The poll also conducted five hypothetical head to head matchups between President Donald Trump and different Democratic 2020 contenders.
Both Biden and Sanders best Trump by a 10 point margin, 55-45 in a hypothetical 2020 race for the presidency.
Their polling also shows that Warren leads Trump by 4 points, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) by 3 points, and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke by 2 points. All three of these potential matchups fall within the margin of error.
This specific poll, surveying 808 Pennsylvania registered voters, took place from March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 3.4 percentage points.
Polling from Emerson indicated that on specific issues, Trump is most popular with economic policy and abortion, tallying 50-50 approval rating. His lowest approval ratings come in on healthcare with 56% disapproving and 44% approving, and immigration with 55% disapproving and 45% approving.
Trump’s approval rating is 41% in the state, while 51% disapprove of his job performance. That poll included 311 registered Pennsylvania voters and the margin of error for that survey is +/- 5.5 percentage points.
See the full data here.