The poll reflects an enormous name ID advantage for Kane, who two weeks ago won a high-profile primary with former Bucks County Congressman Patrick Murphy.
“Sometimes, candidates emerge from a primary stronger, not weaker, and that’s clearly the case with Kathleen,” said Campaign Manager Sadie Sterner. “Pennsylvanians see Kathleen as a qualified, independent prosecutor and they’re intrigued by the prospect of electing the first female major party nominee for Attorney-General in Pennsylvania history.
A former prosecutor from Lackawanna County, Kane defeated Murphy in the Democratic primary on April 24. The two had engaged in a pitched television battle, each spending easily over $1 million.
As the first woman nominated to run for the office, Kane also earned a wide array of positive press before and especially after her primary win. No Democrat has won the office since it went up for election in 1980, so Kane would make history on that count, too.
Kane has strong support – albeit with room to grow – within her party. Kane has the support of 72 percent of Democratic voters, compared to 7 percent of Dems for Freed and 21 percent undecided.
“Kane has emerged from the hotly-contested Democratic primary election with a unified base of support among Democrats. Kane is also leading among independent voters not registered with either party,” the pollsters wrote in their memo.
Freed, the District Attorney of Cumberland County, was unopposed for most of his primary. Republicans received a mail piece that included his name and little else in the way of paid voter contact.
Freed’s Campaign Manager Tim Kelly dismissed the poll.
“Ms. Kane spent more than $2 million of her family’s fortune to win a Democratic primary and still internally polls under 50% against a Republican who has not spent a dime? Anyone who has an entry-level understanding of campaigns and polling would not be reassured by these numbers,” he said.
As with any internal poll, take the results with a grain of salt. But a slightly smaller grain than before. An internal poll Kane’s camp released a week before the primary accurately showed her with a lead over Murphy: 42 to 33 percent, with 25 percent undecided. The final results of the election were Kane 52.8 percent, Murphy 47.2 percent.
Pollsters Brad Chism and Traci Copeland of Zata 3 surveyed 916 voters via interactive voice response (IVR) technology on April 30 and May 1. The margin of error is +/- 3.24% at a 95% confidence level. The sample is limited to individuals who own home phones.