Keystone Analytics Poll: Wagner 38, Peduto 30

Wagner Peduto

Wagner, left, and Peduto

With the Pittsburgh mayoral primary essentially a two man race, former Auditor General Jack Wagner has the lead.

According to the latest survey from Keystone Analytics, Wagner leads City Councilman Bill Peduto 38% to 30% among likely voters.

State Rep. Jake Wheatley takes 4% and activist AJ Richardson won just 1%.

The survey was conducted April 2-3. Harrisburg-based Keystone Analytics used live interviews to poll 400 likely Democratic primary voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.9%.

It’s an 18 point jump for Wagner, who managed just 20% in a KA poll just one month ago. Peduto’s number is unchanged at 30% in each.

Wagner has enjoyed most if not all of the momentum in the race in the past week. City Controller Michael Lamb and City Council President Darlene Harris both dropped out of the race and endorsed Wagner; this is the first poll since. Lamb and Wagner had been splitting their shared geographic base.

Harris did so Thursday at a press conference along with several notable trade unions: the IBEW Local 5, the Greater Pittsburgh Council of Carpenters, Steamfitters Local 449, Plumbers Local 27, and IUPAT District Council 57 (Painters).

Peduto, meanwhile, is also building support in the race. This week he earned the backing of fellow councilman Patrick Dowd as well as AFSCME District Council 84, UFCW Local 23, IATSE and the Sheet Metal Workers Local Union #12. He also earned the backing of the gun control group CeaseFire PA.

The pollster said both Wagner and Peduto have strong name ID and are viewed favorably, with “Wagner at 95 percent total name recognition and 60 percent favorable, and Peduto at 93 percent total name recognition and 58 percent favorable.”

Additionally, “Peduto is up by 11 percent among 18-49 year-olds, but Wagner wins among 65 and older by 16-points.”

April 4th, 2013 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Local races, Poll, Top Stories | 4 Comments

4 thoughts on “Keystone Analytics Poll: Wagner 38, Peduto 30”

  1. Drew Managh says:

    It seems you have know peduto personally not thru the papers or such to support him. Which is why he is stuck at 30. He’s like a pied piper if ya hang out with him you think he’s cool . If you don’t, you think he’s a fool!

  2. Aaron Hartman says:

    look like Jack Wagner won’t retired anytime soon

  3. Bryan says:

    Normally I wouldn’t point out something so frivolous, but “Wanger” (a slang term, one may or may not know; I assume this wasn’t intentional :) ) in the fifth paragraph should be Wagner.

  4. mary says:

    Mr. Peduto stuck at 30 in every poll. That could be a fatal characteristic.

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