While it may be short, the one page memo released by Tim Murphy’s campaign carries a lot of weight. According to numbers from an internal poll released by the Congressman’s campaign on Monday, the Republican incumbent holds a hefty 34 point lead over his opponent Larry Maggi.
“Congressman Murphy leads Democrat Larry Maggi by a very wide margin among the district’s likely voters (60 percent-26 percent),” states the poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies on behalf of the Murphy campaign. The detailed poll also includes facts on certain demographics, such as Murphy’s lead amongst seniors (62 percent-22 percent), Independents (64 percent-14 percent), and a tie among registered Democrats (42 percent-42 percent).
The poll also emphasizes the high number of registered Democrats in Pennsylvania’s 18th District, 50 percent of which indicate Murphy as having a positive image (only 28 percent giving him an unfavorable image). “Given Tim Murphy’s very positive image and strong support on the ballot, the Congressman is in terrific shape heading into the final weeks of this campaign,” ends the memo.
The release was first reported by Early Returns.
As with every internal poll, this should be taken with a grain of salt. Although internals can be accurate, they tend to offer only partial information. The aim of releasing this one, most likely, is an effort to put a damper on any last-minute fundraising by Maggi. This is the only polling that has been made public about the race between Murphy and Maggi thus far as no independent or public polls have yet been conducted.
Maggi, a Washington County Commissioner, has hammered Murphy for his vote in favor of the House GOP budget in a district that includes a high proportion of seniors.
Although it seems the numbers may not be in their favor, the Maggi campaign has refused to give up hope for a victory in the upcoming election. “We are going to win this election because Larry Maggi fits this district and Tim Murphy’s voting record is out of step with Southwest Pennsylvania,” said Bradley Komar, Campaign Manager.
Komar declined to release the Maggi campaign’s own numbers, but said that their polling is considerably different.
This news comes just a few days after the DCCC cut back on ad funding in Southwestern Pennsylvania, acknowledging the uphill climb to be faced by the Democrats in the Pittsburgh area.