PA-Gov: Harper Poll: Wolf 52 Corbett 41

Corbett-Wolf-Piechart

Harper Polling Results

Harper Polling just released the third survey of the Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in the last week. Like the two previous polls, Harper finds Wolf with a double-digit lead, although Gov. Corbett is much more competitive.

The difference may lie in the fact that Harper’s poll of likely voters contains far fewer undecideds.

Wolf holds a 52% to 41% advantage while just 7% of respondents remain undecided.

The Democratic nominee is doing a better job of holding his base, as he has the support of 82% of Democrats while just 70% of Republicans are backing Corbett. Wolf is taking 21% of the GOP vote while 14% of Democrats say they’re voting for the Governor.

According to the regional breakdowns Harper unveiled, Corbett holds a small lead in the South Central part of the state (48-45) while Wolf has a slight edge in the Pittsburgh/Southwest region (48-46). Meanwhile, the Democratic nominee leads 58% to 35% in Philadelphia and the Southeastern part of the state.

Harper also asked their respondents, regardless of how they’re voting, who they thought would ultimately win the race. 61% believe Wolf will become PA’s next Governor while just 33% believe Corbett will earn a second term.

Perhaps most distressing for the Governor, just 53% of Republicans believe he’ll win. This could hurt turnout because if voters don’t think their candidate has a chance, they are less likely to make the effort to vote. This could create a self-fulfilling prophecy that could significantly damage Corbett’s chances.

The one silver lining for Gov. Corbett is that 43% support his decision to expand Medicaid compared to 38% who were opposed. 19% were unsure.

Harper Polling is a GOP firm that was created in 2012.

Harper conducted an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey of 665 likely voters. The poll took place on September 2nd and 3rd. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.18%.

13 thoughts on “PA-Gov: Harper Poll: Wolf 52 Corbett 41

  1. i see somewun is usin my good name agin to post on this hear site. you better stop or ill call my laywer on you anyway as i said in penna the way it works is the partys get to be guevnor 8 yrs at a time when the other partie get to be guv for 8 yrs so guevnor cobitt is gunna win in a land slide wolfe is gunna loes his lede in nov you jist sit back and watch

  2. Toni I aint no what your talking bout, I aint no fake person I am just chris saying wuts on my mind witch is that in penna the way it works is the partys get to be guevnor 8 yrs at a time when the other partie get to be guv for 8 yrs, that aint no fake persality it just me saying the way it is in penna,

  3. PoliticsPA needs to create an award and give it to the real person behind the Chris Martinez fake personality. Anyone who can keep up that flawless act this long deserves special recognition. Kudos to you Sir (or Madam)!

  4. dustin the race aint over bcause the electon aint happning for anuther 2 mnths. and goevnor corbit gonna move up on the poles and he gonna win in a land slide, that is gonna be whut happens elcton day,

  5. This race is over and has been over since the day after the primary. November cant come soon enough! #wolfpack #onetermtom

  6. wow and now a discrimination/sexual harassment suit. Only Bob McDonnell is having a worse year politically. For now.

  7. Well Corbett is holding onto the Pennsyltucky hillbilly voters. Too bad Corbett and Turzai couldn’t keep the voter suppression law. Damn Constitutional rights.

  8. Another scandal for Corbett:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/04/tom-corbett-pennsylvania_n_5766484.html

    Ex-Tom Corbett Staffer Complains Of Porn Culture, Gender Discrimination:

    The Pennsylvania attorney general’s office paid a $15,000 settlement to a female agent who accused executives of sharing pornographic emails and making derogatory comments to women while Tom Corbett, who is now the state’s Republican governor, was in charge.

    The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review reported that the agent, Dianne Buckwash, alleged in a complaint with the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission that the men in the attorney general’s office held all the power, women were rarely promoted and executives in the Criminal Law Division were known to email around photos of nude women and “adults engaged in sex acts.” Buckwash said the events occurred during the administrations of then-Attorney General Corbett, who served from 1995 to 1997 and 2005 to 2010, and Linda Kelly, who served as attorney general in 2011 and 2012.

  9. It’s a good day for a challenger when an incumbent greets being down only 11 as “good news”.

  10. i told yall guvnore corbitt was gunna come back and win in a land slyde thats the way penna has always dun it one party get’s 8 yrs then the other party get’s 8 yrs

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