We’ve now seen the fifth straight poll showing Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in Pennsylvania.
The most recent Suffolk, PPP, F&M and Susquehanna surveys all showed Clinton ahead.
Now the new Quinnipiac poll finds Hillary with a 52% to 42% advantage over The Donald.
When Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included Clinton’s lead is at nine points, 48% to 39%. Johnson gets 7% while Stein is at just 3%.
These results must be particularly tough for Republicans, however, as Trump led in July’s Q poll and progressives have accused these surveys of leaning right.
Quinnipiac released these results early so there are no crosstabs yet, but there is still some valuable information.
Favorables
For instance, Hillary Clinton’s favorable/unfavorable split (44/51) is poor while still being better than Trump’s (36/57).
Other favorability scores included: First Lady Michelle Obama (63/25), President Barack Obama (56/41), former President Bill Clinton (52/43) and Melania Trump (28/21).
Demographics and Ideologies
Once again, there was a large gender gap in this contest. Clinton leads 59% to 36% among women while Trump has the 49% to 44% edge with men.
Furthermore, nonwhite respondents went with Clinton by a 81% to 8% margin. On the other hand, white voters support Trump by just three points, 49% to 46%.
Digging into the crosstabs, we find that white women support Hillary 54% to 43% while white men back Donald 57% to 37%.
There was also a large education gap. College graduates went with Clinton by a 55% to 40% whereas those who didn’t have a college degree chose Trump 58% to 38%.
Finally, despite the discord at the DNC, Clinton is ahead 92% to 5% with Democrats. Compare that to Trump’s numbers, 83% to 14%, with Republicans. Independents prefer Hillary 48% to 44%.
This survey was conducted by Quinnipiac University using live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones from July 30th to August 7th. They contacted 815 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error is +/- 3.4%.
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12 Responses
You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation however I find this matter to be really something that I think I’d never understand. It sort of feels too complex and very large for me. I am having a look ahead on your subsequent publish, I’ll try to get the hold of it!
http://www.memates.com.au/blogs/3478/20154/some-tips-with-regard-to-best-pe
David – the time to go after Shapiro is past. He is the nominee now; and we sure as heck don’t want Rafferty. Get behind Shapiro and fight your Charter School battle elsewhere.
Little Nicky – This falls well within what the vast majority of polls right now are saying. As noted by Harry Enten yesterday, Trump supporters knocking these polls are essentially saying that “a large number of professional pollsters who make their living trying to provide accurate information — and have a good record of doing so — are all deliberately biasing the polls and aren’t correcting for it”, which is just conspiracy theory nonsense.
I’m reminded of a delightful question asked in 2012: “Is this just math that you do as a Republican to make yourself feel better, or is this real?” The answer is obvious to those who are not deliberately engaging in self-delusion.
HaHaHa-
I meant I’d prefer Kane over Shapiro, who took A LOT money from the Charter School PAC. He tried to hide it until right before the primary. The teacher’s union immediately (and rightly) withdrew their endorsement. Let’s hope the FBI has been looking into Charter School PAC recipients.
Meant “DD” not “Dad”
Dad – the pathetic troll-boy is using his hero’s screen-name again. Please ignore him.
Kane was an improvement over the porn emailers with secret backdoors to judges.
Diano, of course you would rather have Kane, an incompetent crazy person who hadn’t practiced law for 7 years before the election, over any Republican. We already knew that.
HaHaHa-
Rather have Kane that someone who took $150,000 from charter school PAC and tried to hide the last $100,000 until right before the election.
The best part is that the public is too dumb to figure out that Bill and Hillary gave us Kathleen Kane!
How sweet it is !!!!
The Donald is going to get CRUSHED
Cooked poll. Registered voters…no sampling data, and Hillary shown leading with indys? Pulleeze!