Just like that, Pennsylvania has a ball game
A Quinnipiac poll released this morning shows Senator Bob Casey with less-than-invincible numbers. Casey has a 39 – 29 percent job approval rating, a 43 – 35 percent lead over a generic Republican in 2012, and his ‘deserve re-elect’ at 40 – 33 percent.
Among politicos, an incumbent earning less than 50% in the ‘deserve re-elect’ category is seen as vulnerable.
At first blush those numbers are reassuring to Republicans, who have struggled against perceptions of Casey’s strength as they work to raise money and recruit candidates to run against him.
In one striking figure, 50% of respondents including 52% of Independent voters believe that Casey shares the same views as President Obama. Connecting Casey to Obama is likely to be a key Republican message against him.
Bear in mind that this is just one poll, and a very early one at that. A large percentage of respondents simply haven’t tuned in yet, including 32% of those asked about Casey’s job performance and 27% asked if he deserves re-election.
In a release this morning, Democratic Party spokesman Mark Nicastre aptly noted that, “Voters approve of Sen. Casey’s job performance and they support him over a Republican by a wide margin – even in a difficult political environment.”
So, are these numbers terrible for Casey? No.
But one thing is for sure: Pennsylvania’s 2012 Senate contest is shaping up to be a major race.
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I think the Republican party’s strategy will wear thin quickly on Pennsylvania, particularly with their coddling of special interest groups. The current congressional delegation for the GOP is more of what you’d see in a country club setting.
Challengers in:
Scaringi, I bet Corman, and perhaps Tim Murphy. He’d be a formidable challenger that would probably do well in the western and central parts of the state.
I do NOT vote for a known name or for a candidate the press and some individuals who find “likable”. Casey has voted for every bill to increase our deficit. He has voted for Obamacare knowing well that this bill would include abortions though he states he is against abortions. He is a tax and spend individual who appears to have no knowledge of basic economics.He appears to be ignorant of the Contitution when it comes to the rule of our land when he votes for amnesty for ILLEGAL immigrants.I could write a book on his voting record which to me is the true test of whether he should be awarded another term. Instead of putting all in this comment, I will unequivocally say, I will NOT vote for him and 2010 should he decide to run again.He needs a real civilian working job to understand what is happening in this great nation of ours as he is oblivious of this now.
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