Quinnipiac Poll: Corbett Approval Still Low, Trails Dems
Corbett didn’t match his all-time low, but he came close.
48% of respondents said they disapprove the job Corbett is doing as Governor while 35% said they approve. His lowest point was June 2012, when disapproval reached 50% to 35%.
By 20 points, 52% to 32%, voters said Corbett does not deserve to be re-elected. That deficit spikes to 28 points among women, 55% to 27%, continuing the Governor’s gender gap problem.
He earned negative marks among every demographic subdivision identified in the poll: age, gender, region, income level and party (except only Republicans).
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,032 registered voters via live interviews on land lines and cell phones from May 30 to June 4. The margin of error is +/- 3.1%.
The results are in the neighborhood of other recent polls. For example a Franklin & Marshall survey in May found only 25% of respondents said Corbett deserved to be re-elected.
Quinnipiac tested two head-to-head matchups. Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz lead Corbett 45% to 35%. State Treasurer Rob McCord lead 43% to 35%. Both Democrats enjoy a 20+ point lead among women.
“Already unpopular with Pennsylvania women, Gov. Tom Corbett trails the leading female challenger, U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz, and State Treasurer Rob McCord,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Election Day is 17 months away, but Schwartz is in a strong position to become Pennsylvania’s first female Governor.”
Perhaps Corbett’s biggest ray of hope in the poll is that so few people know anything about his challengers. Only 27% respondents knew enough about Schwartz to form an opinion (19% favorable, 8% unfavorable). And only 14% knew enough about McCord (10% favorable, 4% unfavorable).
A massive 63% of Democrats are undecided in the primary race for Governor.
Schwartz leads the pack in the pack, but is not so dominant in her position that she can expect to deter other prospective candidates.
She had the support of 18% of Democrats. Former Dep’t of Environmental Protection Secretary Katie McGinty had 5%; McCord took 4%; former Pa. Revenue Sec. Tom Wolf had 2%.
4 other candidates had 1 percent: former DEP Sec. John Hanger, Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski, state Sen. Mike Stack (D-Phila), and pastor Max Myers.
Qunnipiac’s April survey of the Democratic gubernatorial race showed Schwartz and former Rep. Joe Sestak tied at 15% each.
Since that poll, Sestak announced the formation of an exploratory committee for a 2016 rematch against Sen. Pat Toomey and ruled out a bid for Governor.
For the primary, Quinnipiac used a subset of 460 Democrats from its primary survey. The margin of error in the primary contest is plus or minus 4.6%.
52% to 46%, respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in Pa.
53% to 27%, respondents say they disapprove the way the state legislature is handling its job.
Bryan Magee contributed to this report.