RABA Research Poll: Lamb 48 Saccone 44
The poll, first reported on by Talking Points Memo, shows that Lamb’s campaign has a lead just ahead of the margin of error.
The poll also shows the same margin, 48 to 44, of voters disapprove of President Trump’s job performance.
Trump has an event Saturday to try to push out his base to the polls on Tuesday. The race has seen Republicans spend millions of dollars to make up for Saccone’s low fundraising totals, and begin to set up a narrative to distance themselves from his campaign if he loses the election.
Similarly, the poll suggests a lopsided edge for Democratic enthusiasm: Though the district is fairly solidly Republican, 41 percent of those surveyed said they were Democratic and 40 percent identified as Republican.
That could be a sign that the survey’s sample is a touch too Democratic, and that its likely voter screen might be a bit too tight. But it could also be capturing the very real signs of a Democratic wave — a huge disparity in voter enthusiasm from one party to the other.
The poll had a sample size of 707 people using an automated phone survey and an internet supplement. The poll was conducted from March 6th-8th, and has a margin of error of 3.7%.