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Voter Registration Update – August 2016

VoteThe Pennsylvania Republican Party continues to make up ground.

On April 26th, PA had 4,062,187 Democrats and 3,126,166 Republicans. Throw in another 1,085,350 independents and members of other parties for 8,273,703 total registered voters.

The latest update for August 1st shows 4,074,858 Democrats and 3,159,815 Republicans. An additional 1,106,024 voters brings the grand total to 8,340,697.

As a result, we find that Republicans have added 33,649 new voters to their rolls compared to 12,671 for the Democrats. Over the past three months, the GOP has reduced their deficit from 936,021 to 915,043.

Just seven counties saw an increase in the Democrats’ favor. Furthermore, four of them were rather small: Chester (188), Clinton (40), Dauphin (72), Lehigh (53).

Where the Democrats drew the bulk of their new recruits, though, were Philadelphia (8,529) and neighboring Delaware (1,665) and Montgomery (1,313) counties.

GOP gains were spread throughout the commonwealth but they did show impressive gains in certain counties like: Westmoreland (4,345), York (2,084), Washington (1,585), Luzerne (1,220), Bucks (1,194), Allegheny (1,110), Butler (1,083), Cambria (1,023).

Most of these counties are in the Southwestern part of the state that has been treading red, although Luzerne and Bucks continue to stand out as NEPA and SEPA counties that are going against the grain in the increasingly Democratic eastern half of the commonwealth.   

5 Responses

  1. Warms my heart to see so much Blue in Delco:) bye bye Red:) only a matter of time before we control Media.) I’m a very patient person.)

  2. I’d welcome seeing a further breakdown that shows all party affiliation, not just Dems and Reps. This constant focus on the 2 primary parties furthers the duopoly’ power.

  3. Nick-

    Please delete this ridiculous article and re-write it using the ACTIVE counts:
    3,650,636 Dems
    2,925,219 Reps
    942,702 Other
    —————
    7,518,557 Total

    The InActive numbers should NEVER be included in an analysis like this (unless explicitly covered in a separate analysis as a sidebar).

    The “inactive” list is the “to be purged” list, and the stats show that the InActive turnout is less than 1% (closer to 1/10th of a percent).

    There are over 800,000 InActive records and an addition 100,000 that should be marked as such, but the county election boards are slow/lazy. Pretty much all of these records could be deleted/purged.

    Using the InActive totals for comparisons gives a false impression, especially if a county has done a purge, since those InActive voters never should have appeared in the totals.

    In Delaware County, there are 20,000 inactive Dems and 13,000 InActive Reps who never vote. But, only the Delco Dems chair uses that extra 7,000 to pretend the Dem advantage is greater than it is. Every honest analysis uses the Active numbers (which now show a 4,000 registration advantage, not 11,000).

    So, Nick, PLEASE redo this article using the active counts and resubmit it with the correct analysis.

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