FiveThirtyEight rates McGinty’s chances, Michelle Obama is coming to PA and a majority of our readers disapprove of Gov. Wolf’s job performance. Good morning politicos, here’s the Playbook!

PA-Sen: FiveThirtyEight Gives McGinty 59% Chance to Win: The political prognosticators released their new Senate forecast.

Michelle Obama to Campaign for Clinton in PA: The First Lady will visit Pittsburgh and Philadelphia next week.

Reader Poll: Majority Disapprove of Wolf’s Performance: Most of our readers have a negative opinion of the Governor.

Reader Poll: Do Debates Affect How You Vote?: We ask our readers if debates determine their support.

PA-Sen: Toomey Hits McGinty For Not Agreeing to More Debates: Only two TV forums are scheduled at the moment.

Trump to Speak at MSC Conference: The GOP nominee will keynote the Marcellus Shale Coalition’s annual conference.

Hillary Seeks to Sew Up Coalition in Philly Visit: The Democratic presidential nominee spoke to students at Temple University.

Clinton Reaches Out to Hispanics in New TV Ad (VIDEO): The Democratic nominee makes the case that she will defend and strengthen the Hispanic community.

Statewide
Capitolwire: Will money play a crucial role in state row office elections?
Capitolwire: Firearm ordinance preemption bill back in play
Capitolwire: ‘Moneyball’ budgeting gets another look
PLS Reporter: Sunday hunting in Pennsylvania fails to win committee approval
PLS Reporter: Municipal gun ordinance preemption bill; chance at becoming a law  
PLS Reporter: Senate committee looks at performance-based budgeting  

Philadelphia
Inquirer: Brady on State Rep. Acosta: ‘She should resign now’ after guilty plea
Inquirer: Amid claims he backs banks, Toomey grills Wells Fargo CEO
Inquirer: Pa. bill would give NRA, others right to sue over gun laws
Inquirer: Saint-Gobain gives $700K of love to LOVE Park
Daily News: Can Pat Toomey beat a national trend?
Philadelphia Magazine: Michelle Obama will campaign in Philadelphia next week
Philadelphia Magazine: New poll places McGinty ahead of Toomey in Pa. senate race
WHYY Newsworks: The decline and (hopeful) resurgence of civic knowledge
WHYY Newsworks: Philadelphia woman pleads guilty to supporting ISIS, awaits sentencing
KYW: New PA law lets drivers run red light, legally

SEPA
Bucks County Courier-Times: PFCs increasing in Neshaminy Creek, widespread in Northampton wells
Bucks County Courier-Times: Doylestown supervisors approve authority’s plan for Cross Keys well project
Bucks Local News: Pennsbury School District details tentative five-year agreement with its teachers; school board to vote on contract this week
Bucks Local News: Passions run deep at packed rails to trails public meeting in Northampton Township; officials hear support, opposition to concept

Pittsburgh
Tribune-Review: Million-dollar ad campaign strives to turn voters against McGinty
Post-Gazette: Advocates applaud new investigation of abuse by Pennsylvania priests
Post-Gazette: Michelle Obama scheduled to make Pittsburgh appearance next Wednesday
Business Times: Kevin Dempsey: Cost recovery critical to Pa. manufacturing
WESA: Donald Trump to speak Thursday at shale insight downtown
KDKA: State Legislators Again Put Local Gun Laws in Crosshairs

Southwest
Observer Reporter: State university faculty seeks binding arbitration in negotiations
Observer Reporter: Message claiming to be from KKK arrives on house lawns
Altoona Mirror: School board tables vote on ‘In God We Trust’ plaque
Tribune-Democrat: Burns pushes for Blue Lives Matter vote

NEPA
Times Leader: Luzerne County reducing dispatch wait for emergency medical responders
Times Leader: Larksville police chief seeks input from residents to help fight growing drug abuse
Citizens Voice: U.S. Attorney Peter Smith announces retirement
Citizens Voice: Forum addresses prison understaffing

South Central
Patriot-News: In Pa. General Assembly, a dash of gun control for your pre-campaign session hot list
Patriot-News: State universities’ negotiators request fact-finder to help resolve labor dispute with faculty
Patriot-News: Liquor Control Board appoints new director amid sweeping reforms
York Daily Record: Billionaires decide to support Senate races
York Dispatch: Trump Jr. gets backlash over Skittles tweet
Lancaster Intelligencer/ Era: Presidential debate set to air live at Penn Cinema on Monday

Lehigh Valley
Morning Call: McGinty calls out Pat Toomey at Bethlehem Union at Lehigh Valley hall visit
Morning Call: Braden Airpark could get $2.7 million upgrade
Morning Call: Report: Violent crime in Allentown has nearly shrunk in half over past decade
Reading Eagle: Auto club says Americans wasting billions on higher-octane gasoline
Reading Eagle: EPA to test for lead contamination in Reading

North by Northwest
Erie Times News: County councilman still working to settle EMTA dispute
Erie Times-News: Erie diocese releases final parish plan
Centre Daily Times: Low-flying plane over Penn State’s campus

Opinion
Patriot-News: Let us taste the rainbow of all the things wrong with Donald Trump Jr’s tweet about refugees
Patriot-News: We can’t arrest our way out of Pa.’s heroin epidemic: Josh Shapiro
Post-Gazette: Camera, action: City surveillance cameras are too vital to neglect
Post-Gazette: The caregiving crunch: An aging America needs caring families
Inquirer: Daily shootings in Philadelphia should be treated like acts of terrorism and given more attention

Blogs
Keystone State Education Coalition: PA Education Policy Roundup; Philadelphia Education Fund receives $3 million grant to boost college readiness
Commonwealth Foundation: The state of Pennsylvania’s school district funding  
2 Political Junkies: Trump’s comments on the suspect connected to the New York and New Jersey explosions