Casey’s Approval Rating Jumps; GOP 2012 Senate Picture Still Complicated
By Keegan Gibson, Managing Editor
Senator Bob Casey got some good news this morning, as the new Quinnipiac poll showed a 10 point net jump in his approval ratings.
44 percent of PA voters approve of Casey’s job performance, compared to 24 percent who disapprove. Quinnipiac’s December poll showed Casey with relatively more meager approval numbers of 39 – 29 percent.
Today’s Quinnipiac poll also showed President Obama’s PA approval rating back above 50 percent, his highest approval since July 2009.
By a 46 – 28 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters say Casey deserves to be re-elected. Casey bests a generic Republican nominee 45 – 35 percent.
Casey also aced the key ‘Goldilocks’ category. Asked if Casey was too liberal, too conservative or just right, 46 percent of respondents said he was just right. Only 22 percent sad he was too liberal.
These are all good numbers for Casey. His only apparent weak spot is the fact that 31 percent of poll respondents didn’t know enough about him to form an opinion. That gives the GOP the opportunity to define Casey to an extent greater than the typical statewide elected official (who is also the son of a former Governor).
Today’s poll would seem to bolster one of Republicans’ strongest attacks in 2010: the Obama comparison. It showed that a full 51 percent of voters believe that Casey “generally shares the views of Barack Obama on major issues.” However, with the President actually on the ballot in 2012, it is unclear whether such a line of attack would help or hurt Casey.
And Republicans have their own name ID problems in this race. Not one of the prospective GOP candidates has name ID over 26 percent, according to a January survey by PPP.
Indeed, referring to “prospective GOP candidates” may be generous, as few major Republican contenders have expressed public interest in the race.
From February 8 – 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,366 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.