CBS/YouGov Poll: Biden 49, Trump 43
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a several point edge over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania according to this latest poll.
The latest CBS News poll conducted by YouGov of registered voters in the Keystone State shows Biden leading Trump by 6 points, 49-to-43. Biden also holds a 6 point lead, 48-to-42, in Wisconsin, which is the other state polled in the CBS News’ battleground tracker released on Sunday.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, YouGov favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B grade.
A majority of PA registered voters think that things are going badly in America and that the economy in the state is bad shape. 75% said that things are either going very badly or somewhat badly in America, while 25% said that things are either going very well or somewhat well. 61% rated the condition of Pennsylvania’s economy as very bad or fairly bad, while 32% rated it as very good or fairly good, and 7% said that they were not sure.
Over half of voters said that healthcare, immigration, gun policy, the coronavirus outbreak, the economy, and the recent protests are each major factors in their vote for president. The economy led the way as the most important issue with 84% saying it is a major factor, followed by 75% saying that healthcare is a major factor in their presidential vote, then 69% saying that the coronavirus outbreak was a major factor; 63% saying that the recent protests are a major factor; 61% choosing immigration as a major factor; and 60% describing gun policy as a major factor in their presidential vote.
Trump has a slight edge over Biden in what voters described as the most important factor in their presidential vote. Trump leads Biden by 1 point, 46-to-45, when voters were asked who would do a better job handling the economy, while 7% said neither, and 2% said both equally.
Biden holds a 10 point advantage, 47-to-37, over Trump on who voters believe would do a better job on handling the coronavirus outbreak.
Over half of Pennsylvania voters believe that Gov. Tom Wolf has done a good job handling the coronavirus pandemic, while Trump’s numbers are under water on the matter. 55% said that Trump has done a very bad or somewhat bad job handling the coronavirus outbreak, while 45% believe that the president has done a very good or somewhat good job handling the coronavirus outbreak. 61% of voters in the state said that Gov. Tom Wolf has done a very good or somewhat good job handling the coronavirus outbreak, while 39% said that Wolf has done a very bad or somewhat bad job handling the coronavirus outbreak.
40% of voters believe the state moved about right in reopening the economy and lifting stay-at-home restrictions, while 30% said that the state moved too slowly, and 30% said that the state moved too quickly.
A slight majority of voters oppose the process of fracking in the state, although Trump, who has attempted to paint Biden as the anti-fracking candidate in the race, is more trusted on issues surrounding oil and gas exploration, including fracking. 52% oppose the process of fracking in the state, while 48% said they favor the process of fracking. Trump leads Biden by 3 points, 45-to-42, when voters were asked which candidate would do a better job handling issues surrounding oil and gas exploration, including fracking, in the state.
Trump also holds a 2 point edge, 44-to-42, over Biden when voters are asked who would do a better job handling U.S. policy toward China.
Biden has the edge over Trump in how voters believe he carries himself personally, although the lead is much more narrow for Biden when voters are asked which of the two understands their needs and concerns. 51% of voters like how Biden handles himself personally regardless of how they feel about his policies, while 49% said that they dislike the way he carries himself. 64% of voters dislike how Trump handles himself personally regardless of how they feel about his policies, while 36% said that they like the way Trump carries himself. 45% of voters said that Biden is the candidate that better understands the needs and concerns of people like you, while 41% said that Trump is better on this matter, 12% said neither candidate, and 2% said both equally.
Biden is viewed as the more compassionate (51-to-30), smarter (44-to-38), hard-working (46-to-39), authentic (45-to-37), honest (44-to-31), and religious (38-to-26), candidate over Trump. The president holds a two point edge, 43-to-41, over the former VP when voters were asked which candidate is stronger.
45% of voters in the state said that Trump’s presidency is going much worse than they expected or a little worse than they expected, while 35% said that it is going much better than they expected or a little better than they expected, and 20% said that Trump’s presidency is going about how they expected it.
This latest poll showing Biden leading Trump by 6 points in the state is on par with several other recent polls.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5 points in Pennsylvania.
This poll, surveying 1,225 registered voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between August 4-7, has a margin of error of +/- 3.7% at a 95% confidence interval.
The full data can be found here.