That’s according to the latest CBS/YouGov Poll.
Clinton leads Donald Trump 48% to 40% in the presidential race. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson received 5% while Green Party nominee Jill Stein got 2%.
Meanwhile, McGinty is ahead of Sen. Pat Toomey 44% to 41%.
The presidential numbers for Clinton and Trump are actually the same as they were earlier this month. Back then, the Senate was tied. It’s also worth noting that the final day this poll was in the field, news broke about FBI Director James Comey’s letter to Congress.
Digging into the crosstabs, we find wide gender gaps in each race. Younger voters were more likely to support the Democrat, whereas white voters preferred Republicans. Additionally, independents favored Republicans while moderates want Democrats.
One factor to watch is that Republicans appear more enthused about Pat Toomey than Donald Trump.
The following demographic groups support Clinton: blacks (93/6), Democrats (88/8), liberals (85/7), other races (64/26), 18 to 29 year olds (60/18), non-tea party members (59/29), not a white evangelical (55/33), females (53/35), moderates (51/32) and 30 to 44 year olds (46/32).
Meanwhile, these groups back Trump: tea party members (81/5), Republicans (78/8), conservatives (77/10), white evangelicals (73/11), 65 years old and older (52/45), 45 to 64 year olds (48/45), whites (47/39), independents (46/32) and males (45/42).
In the Senate race, these demographics favor McGinty: liberals (88/6), Democrats (80/8), blacks (73/5), 18 to 29 year olds (57/27), non-tea party members (56/28), other races (56/33), not a white evangelical (52/34), females (48/35), 30 to 44 year olds (43/36) and moderates (42/30).
On the other hand, these groups prefer Toomey: tea party members (90/3), conservatives (84/6), Republicans (82/6), white evangelicals (74/11), 65 years old and older (49/41), whites (47/39), males (47/41), independents (46/36) and 45 to 64 year olds (46/41).
CBS/YouGov surveyed 1,091 likely Pennsylvania voters between October 26th to 28th. The margin of error is +/- 3.7%.