Center For American Greatness/Insider Advantage Poll: Trump 48.4, Biden 45.5

President Donald Trump has taken a slight lead over former Vice President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to polling commissioned by this conservative website

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness of likely voters in the state shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%, while 3.3% said they would vote for Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgenesen, and 2.8% are undecided. 

According to analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Insider Advantage has an overall B- grade. NPR describes the Center for American Greatness as a “conservative website.” 

This is an improvement for Trump in comparison to their poll conducted two weeks ago that showed Biden leading Trump by 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%.

While Trump is ahead in this poll, a significant majority of public polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. According to Real Clear Politics, this latest poll is the first one in Pennsylvania that has shown Trump in the lead since a CNBC/Change Research poll conducted in late-May that showed Trump ahead by 4 points. 

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Trafalgar Grouppoll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. 

One other GOP friendly poll and one Democratic backed poll released this month also showed Biden leading in the state as well, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.8 points in Pennsylvania. 

This overall poll, surveying 400 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Oct. 25, has a margin of error of +/-4.9%. 

The polling can be found here.

October 26th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 9 Comments

9 thoughts on “Center For American Greatness/Insider Advantage Poll: Trump 48.4, Biden 45.5”

  1. Bono says:

    Another outlier poll

  2. Thomas Paine says:

    This is one of those push polls trying to promote a candidate than actually measure the temperature of the voters. Pity. Polls are serious business and some of them make a joke out of this line of work. Shameful.

  3. Phil Hughes says:

    What a farce. No self-respecting pundit nor voter should take this seriously. It’s not a poll. It’s propaganda.

  4. Trump says:

    That’s what a real poll looks like when a conservative political group tags its member by telephone to find out who they’ll vote for. I win by 2%.

    1. Col says:

      Google The CEO of insider Advantage and you’ll start to understand this poll…

    2. Mike McKinney says:

      When people all over the world wake up every morning, the first question they ask is, “What has that idiot done now?” It is going to be so relaxing without your constant chaos.

  5. Sack Lunch says:

    PENNDOT should harvest the salty tears of liberals. #snowmelt

    1. truth says:

      Isn’t your full name Sack of Shit Lunch?

      1. Answer Desk says:

        Isn’t’ your name gulag Douchbag?

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