Civiqs/DailyKos Poll: Biden 52, Trump 45

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a several point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to polling commissioned by this well known liberal website

A Civiqs online poll commissioned by DailyKos of likely voters in the state shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, while 2% said they would vote for someone else, and 1% said they were unsure. 

According to analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Civiqs has an overall B/C grade. 

While Biden leads Trump by 7 points, both presidential candidates’ favorability ratings are under water. 

43% have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 55% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 2% are unsure. 46% have a favorable opinion of Biden, while 51% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 3% are unsure. 

A majority of polling in October has consistently shown Biden leading Trump in the state, although this poll shows the former VP’s lead a few points larger than the current Real Clear Politics average. 

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. However, a Trafalgar Group poll released on Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. 

One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and one Democratic backed poll released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released this week shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 3.8 points in Pennsylvania. 

This overall poll, surveying 1,145 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Oct. 23-26, has a margin of error of +/-3%. 

The crosstabs for the polling can be found here.

October 28th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 2 Comments

2 thoughts on “Civiqs/DailyKos Poll: Biden 52, Trump 45”

  1. GulagPittsburgh aka douchebag whackjob says:

    I eat horseshit.

  2. truth says:

    Trump makes horseshit seem desirable for fragrance.

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