CNN Poll: Clinton 50% Trump 47%

hillary-clinton-shrugThe presidential contest in Pennsylvania, and nationwide, is a dead heat.

That’s according to the new CNN/ORC poll, which has Clinton at 50% and Trump with 47% among likely voters.

When Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included, Clinton’s lead drops to one point, 45% to 44%. Johnson and Stein get 6% and 3% respectively.

Issues

The Democratic nominee and former Secretary of State holds the advantage when it comes to foreign policy (59/37), immigration (50/48) and terrorism (49/48). Meanwhile, Trump is ahead on the topic of the economy (50/47).

Respondents also believe that Clinton “has the temperament to serve effectively as President” (60/34) and “can handle the responsibilities of commander in chief” (55/41).

On the other hand, voters think Trump “has the stamina to serve effectively as President” (50/45) and “is more honest and trustworthy” (48/42).

Demographics

Clinton leads among the following demographic groups: Democrats (86/12), liberals (81/14), urban residents (71/26), moderates (63/34), Philadelphia suburbs (60/36), college graduates (60/38), women (57/41), under 45 year-olds (57/41), white college graduate (56/42), non-Veterans household (54/43), white women (51/46), those making under $50,000 (51/46), those making $50,000 or more (50/47), 35 to 49 year-olds (49/47) and suburban residents (49/48).

Trump is ahead with the following demographic groups: Republicans (87/11), conservatives (75/22), central PA residents (59/37), white men (58/37), white non-college graduates (58/39), Veteran households (55/41), western PA residents (55/42), men (54/42), whites (52/44), non-college graduates (51/45), 65 year-olds and older (50/47), independents (49/45), over 45 year-olds (49/47) and 50 to 64 year-olds (49/48).

Conclusion

Clinton’s advantage in Pennsylvania is narrowing, especially if Gary Johnson and Jill Stein perform as well on Election Day as they do in this survey. The silver lining for Clinton, though, is that while her lead is razor-thin it is still a lead and PA’s twenty electoral votes are winner take all.

This poll was conducted by ORC International on behalf of CNN from September 20th to 25th. They surveyed 771 likely voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.

16 Responses

  1. Anne- hate to tell you- Trump won with independents and republicans- lost with dems and that pimp lester holt.
    Trump could have done better for sure- but Hiliary’s smugness and righteousness were too much for most folks. You can clean up a skunk with perfume and soap-

  2. Those polls are “Racist” Ha, Ha, Ha, ha, Ha!!!!!
    Snopes is run by the jooooowsssss! Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha! Lighten up libtards! Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha!!!!!

  3. Crooked Hiliary- looks flabbergasted. Has she finally figured out why most Americans consider her crooked, pathetic enabler of a womanizer, arrogant and concerned with enriching herself, bill and their Chelsea. Hiliary stinks- perfume and soap can’t clean her up. Name calling is all that Clinton has left. She isn’t sick / just a power Hungary maniac. Bless Donald- win or lose!

  4. Observer:

    As of the Aug 29th voter file, new registrations for 2016:

    Dems: 171K
    Reps: 125K
    Other: 68K

  5. When in doubt, Mr. Tim, go to Snopes.com

    Claim: A WikiLeaks’ DNC e-mail dump captured Democratic staffers referring to voters in Pennsylvania and Ohio as “white trash” and “stupid.”

    false

    Example: [Collected via e-mail and Twitter, September 2016]

    https://t.co/hY25pdGIYI
    So now we know the DNC considers blue-collar from PA & OH “Stupid White Trash”, & will believe anything they say.

    — David DeCarlis (@david_decarlis) September 19, 2016

    Origin:On 27 August 2016, the web site Scorched Earth News published an article reporting that, according to e-mail purportedly released by “sources close to” WikiLeaks, Democratic National Committee (DNC) staffers had referred to voters in Pennsylvania and Ohio (both key swing states in the upcoming presidential election) as “blue collar, poor white trash”:

    Julian Assange is ready to leak some more deleted emails from the DNC and Hillary’s private server, and sources close to WikiLeaks have released data on the dark web about what it entails … Samples from the email:

    “They’re blue collar, poor white trash, and similar to ‘the Jew’s’ supporters and we can peal them away.”

    “They’ll believe anything.”

    “We beat Romney by reminding them that he was rich”

    dncemail

    As the assertion appeared not long after genuine DNC e-mails were posted by WikiLeaks, many readers took the story at face value — even though the the complete, searchable archive of WikiLeaks’ leaked DNC e-mails includes no messages matching the ones quoted and reproduced above.

    This story was just a bit of fiction that originated with Scorched Earth News, which is a fake news site and not a legitimate news outlet of any description. In addition to the fabricated claim about leaked derogatory e-mails discussed above, that site has published fake stories under such headlines as “Cincinnati Zoo Finds Slain Harambe’s Tomb Empty, Zookeepers Astounded” and “Creepy Carolina Clowns Campaigning for Clinton.”

    Originally published: 19 September 2016

  6. DD is dreaming, as usual. With both “candidates” sporting record Unfavorability numbers, this is the year of the Third Party Voter. Noticed which party in PA has more new registrants this year? Trick question; it’s non-affiliated voters. Suck it, Dems.

    This writer also fails to note that all of Shillary’s “leads are within the margin of error; she really has no lead at all.

  7. Since when is a 3% lead a dead heat? Stop shading the truth; just endorse Trump if that’s what you feel and stop pretending to be an impartial journalist.

  8. “especially if Gary Johnson and Jill Stein perform as well on Election Day as they do in this survey”

    Come election day, people will realize it’s a binary choice. Also, it’s different mentioning all four candidates in a survey to people going to the polls and looking at the ballot themselves, without prompting about 3rd party. The fear of a Trump presidency will scare away 3rd party votes.

    The polls don’t take into account ground-game.

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