Continuing a trend that began just after the conclusion of the May primaries, the Democratic candidates for both the open U.S. Senate seat and the governor’s mansion head the latest survey, this one coming from CNN/SSRS.
In a poll of 703 likely voters, John Fetterman leads his GOP challenger, Mehmet Oz, by six points at 51-45, while Josh Shapiro has a 15-point lead over Republican nominee Doug Mastriano, 56-41.
Fetterman, the sitting lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, has yet to trail in any of the 31 surveys since May. His 51 percent received is the highest in the 10 most recent polls and he holds a 3.6-point average edge over the five most recent samplings. Oz has topped 45 percent in three of the last four surveys.
The lead increased to 11 points (52-41) when registered voters were included in the numbers.
Forty-eight percent of respondents have a favorable opinion of the Democrat, while a nearly-equal 46 percent have an unfavorable opinion. Oz’s numbers are below water with 38 percent thinking favorably as opposed to 55 percent unfavorably.
Shapiro, the current Attorney General of the Commonwealth, received his largest percentage of support since May with 56%. It is the ninth time in the last 11 polls that the Democrat exceeded 50 percent. Mastriano, the state senator from Franklin County, has trailed by double digits in nine of the last 11 surveys.
When registered voters are included in the numbers, Shapiro’s advantage grew to 56-39 with four percent undecided.
Fifty-six percent of respondents have a favorable opinion of Shapiro, while 3 in 10 (29%) have an unfavorable opinion. Mastriano’s numbers are also underwater at minus-19 with 34% with a favorable view and 53% unfavorable.
Fetterman held the advantage over Oz in nearly all crosstabs, trailing just among non-college white males, 56-39. Nine in 10 surveyed indicated that their choice is made. In the governor’s race, the view is similar with Mastriano only leading among non-college educated white males as well (53-45).
As is usually the case in general elections, the economy is the main concern for respondents when casting their congressional vote. Forty-four percent of those surveyed indicated the economy and inflation as the top issue, while abortion (19%) and voting integrity (12%) came in second and third, respectively. Six in 10 respondents (63%) said that economic conditions in the Commonwealth are getting worse.