CNN Polls: Clinton 48 Trump 44; McGinty 51 Toomey 46

hillary-clinton-katie-mcgintyHillary Clinton and Katie McGinty lead the latest CNN/ORC surveys of Pennsylvania.

According to the new poll Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump by four points, 48% to 44%. Meanwhile, McGinty is up by five points, 51% to 46%, over incumbent GOP Senator Pat Toomey.

So what do these polls mean? Well, in late September CNN found Clinton and McGinty each with three point advantages. Much has happened in the meantime but it’s notable that both surveys were done at low points for the Democratic presidential candidate (her bout of pneumonia in September and the Comey letter now).

CNN/ORC have also been judged by FiveThirtyEight to have a slight GOP house effect.

Additionally, the results don’t exactly line up with other polls. For example, they also found Clinton up two in toss-up Florida but down six in Nevada which has been trending towards her. Their results also showed the Florida Senate race closer than Nevada one which goes against the averages.

Finally, this survey has McGinty running ahead of Clinton which is outside the norm although another poll today revealed the same phenomenon.

The CNN/ORC polls were conducted by telephone from October 27th to November 1st. Results reflect interviews with 799 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.

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