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Cook Labels PA’s 2022 Senate Race As A Toss Up

Another national ratings outlet views Pennsylvania’s 2022 Senate race as a Toss Up. 

The Cook Political Report’s first Senate ratings for the 2022 cycle lists Pennsylvania as one of two states that are considered to be Toss Ups. North Carolina’s Senate race is the other listed in the same category. 

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated Pennsylvania’s Senate race in 2022 as the lone Toss Up of the cycle in its initial ratings. 

In the Cook Political Report’s “2022 Senate At-A-Glance breakdown,” they provide a list of potential candidates for each state as well.  

“This list of potential candidates for the 2022 elections is highly speculative and contains names that have been mentioned as either publicly or privately considering candidacies, or worthy of consideration as candidates or recruiting prospects by the parties or interest groups,” the analysis states. “The numerical key indicating our assessment of each person’s likelihood of running is obviously important, given the “long and dirty” nature of this list, which will be updated each week.”

Due to Sen. Pat Toomey’s announcement that he wouldn’t seek a third term, there’s several potential candidates mentioned under the Democratic and Republican parties. 

Under the Democratic Party potential candidate list, Cook names Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh, Reps. Brendan Boyle, Chrissy Houlahan, and Conor Lamb, Attorney General Josh Shapiro, state Sen. Sharif Street, state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta, and Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney. 

Fetterman is the lone Democrat of the group to formally announce a bid for the seat thus far. 

On the GOP side, Cook mentions Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick, Mike Kelly, Dan Meuser, Guy Reschenthaler, Lloyd Smucker, G.T. Thompson, former Congressman Ryan Costello, former Lt. governor candidate Jeff Bartos, and state Sen. Camera Bartolotta. 

None of those potential GOP candidates have formally announced their entrance into the 2022 Senate race. 

Cook Political Report’s final 2018 ratings listed the Senate race between Sen. Bob Casey (D) and Rep. Lou Barletta (R-Luzerne) as “Likely Democratic.” In 2016, Cook’s final ratings listed GOP Sen. Pat Toomey’s reelection bid against Democratic challenger Katie McGinty as a “Toss Up.” 

See Cook Political Report’s full 2022 Senate At-A-Glance here.

18 Responses

  1. Since PA is a closed primary state, the GOP will end up nominating a MAGAt like Gale. So, this will be an ez pickup for the Ds.

  2. Toomey is the best candidate of all the R’s. And he is not running. The rest seem to be central casting Republicans of little charisma. There is no Tom Ridge among them. The Dems need to nominate Houlahan. She could win. Josh Shapiro is a good candidate for Gov.

  3. I am supporting any democrat. Donnie forsaked me and would not grant me a pardon. I cannot wear my horns or my pants
    in the joint. I wore this attire in honor of the “Village People”.
    Again, I am supporting any democrat against a Republican.

  4. Casey and Toomey are pathetic cowards with no guts. A real republican will win the Senate race in 2022.

  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

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