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Cook Moves PA From Toss Up to Leans Dem For Presidential Race

Pennsylvania is no longer a Toss Up, according to the latest Electoral College ratings from the Cook Political Report

In an article published on July 8, Pennsylvania moves from a Toss Up into the Leans Democrat category. 

Amy Walter writes that the presidential election is looking “more like a Democratic tsunami than simply a Blue wave,” as she moves Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nebraska’s 2nd District from Toss Up to Lean Democrat. 

Walter cites the FiveThirtyEight average that shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 8 points in Pennsylvania.

The most recent rating change also puts Biden at 279 electoral votes, which is over the 270 threshold needed to capture the White House.

This ratings update is the first time that Pennsylvania moved out of the Toss Up column since the Cook Political Report debuted their 2020 Election College Ratings in January 2019. This is also the first time that either candidate had enough electoral votes needed to win the presidency. 

The Cook Political Report is not alone in moving the race into Biden’s favor for the Keystone State. 

Politico pushed the presidential race in Pennsylvania from Toss Up to Leans Democratic on July 6, while Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball changed the rating from Toss Up to Leans Democratic on June 25. 

On Election Day 2016, Pennsylvania was listed as Leans Democrat for the presidential race between Sec. Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. 

While the presidential race has moved into Biden’s favor, there are still two House races in Pennsylvania listed as Toss Ups. In their latest House ratings released on July 2, Reps. Matt Cartwright (D-Lackawanna) and Scott Perry (R-York) are both in races listed as toss-ups.

6 Responses

  1. Trump is looking at shitface disaster. Enen the idiots who clamored to open have now shut up; they see what opening too soon and without masks did to TX and FL.

    1. What a f@cking Loser reject you are. No balls to post anything under your real name.

    2. Rusty Diamond is out there calling it child abuse to follow health guidance and have children wear masks. That little man doesn’t have the sense God gave a goose.

  2. R’s in trouble. House seats for Fitzpatrick, DePasquale and Cartwright impacted by Dem tsunami (as Amy Walter of Cook’s puts it). Bleak bleak bleak for R’s. R Senator’s are bailing on R August Convention. Bleak. Bleak. Bleak.

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