As President Donald Trump moves at breakneck speed to reshape the federal government, Democrats find themselves fighting a two-front war – one against the new administration and another against the general public that views the party in a more negative light than in recent years.
Searching for a bright spot has not been easy for the party faithful … but one comes around the corner in 2026. The GOP holds a slender three-seat majority in the U.S. House and voters often look to check the power of the majority in the midterms.
The Cook Political Report has put out its first 2026 House Ratings and three Pennsylvania seats are viewed as “toss-ups.”
CPR calls the newly acquired seat of Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R-07) and the longtime seat of Rep. Scott Perry (R-10) as pure toss-ups, while the newly minted representative from NEPA – Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R-08) – has his seat listed as “Lean Republican.”
Two other Keystone State seats are listed, but on the outskirts of the table. Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-17) is rated as likely Democratic, while Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-01) is viewed as likely Republican.
In all, CPR rates just 18 seats as Toss Ups – 10 held by Democrats and eight by Republicans. Cook says that Republicans are starting out in a stronger position than in 2018 with almost all of the most competitive House districts moving to the right between 2020 and 2024. That said, many of the Democratic candidates in competitive districts ran ahead of former Vice President Kamala Harris.
Mackenzie unseated incumbent Democrat Susan Wild in a Lehigh Valley race by a little more than 4,000 votes, while Perry held off Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson in a Central PA contest by 5,100 votes. Bresnahan ousted incumbent Democrat Matt Cartwright by 6,200 votes.