Cook Political Report Updates Rating for PA-1 and PA-17
The 1st district, represented by Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Bucks), was shifted to ‘toss up’ partially because of the new lines ordered by the state Supreme Court.
“Last month, Pennsylvania’s court-ordered redistricting swapped out a very GOP-friendly portion of Montgomery County for much more Democratic Lansdale, converting this seat (now the 1st CD) from a narrow President Trump win to a two-point Hillary Clinton win. Bucks County was still kept whole and the partisan shift isn’t as dramatic as it is in some other districts, but the new margins have given Democrats new optimism,” the Report says.
The 17th district Pennsylvania house seat currently held by Republican Keith Rothfus has been reclassified as a ‘toss-up’ as well.
This district vastly different than the one Rothfus won in 2016. It now includes most of southern Allegheny County and Beaver County, and is now home to Congressman-elect Conor Lamb, a Democrat from Mt. Lebanon. The district now only leans slightly Republican, and is expected to be a close race in the 2018 midterms.
“Both GOP Rep. Keith Rothfus and Democratic Rep.-Elect Conor Lamb live in the new 17th CD and are expected to file to run against each other, but Lamb probably starts out as the favorite thanks to his appeal in the South Hills. Although Rothfus represents 56 percent of the new seat to Lamb’s 20 percent, it’s much less Republican (Cook PVI R+3) than Rothfus’s current 12th CD (R+11) and Lamb’s 18th CD (R+11),” the Report wrote.