A new internal poll shows the race remains tight in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District.
The survey commissioned by Dem candidate Eugene DePasquale’s campaign and conducted by GBAO shows the challenger leading Rep. Scott Perry (R-York) by 4 points, 50-to-46. However, DePasquale’s lead is within the margin of error. It interviewed 500 likely voters from Aug. 30 to Sept.1 and has a ± 4.4% margin of error. The poll was first reported by the York Dispatch.
FiveThirtyEight doesn’t rate polling from GBAO, but the firm’s client page shows that they have represented a few other Democrats in Pennsylvania in the past, including DePasquale, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, and Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-Philadelphia).
As with any internal poll, the results should be taken with a grain of salt.
The polling shows that both Perry, the incumbent Congressman, and DePasquale, the state’s auditor general, have job approval ratings above 50% in the district. 52% approve of Perry’s job performance in Congress, while 59% of DePasquale’s job performance as auditor general.
This is the second poll from GBAO in the race for the 10th Congressional District. In late May, a few days before the state’s primary, they conducted a poll that showed Perry leading DePasquale by 3 points, 50-to-47.
A trio of national ratings outlets have this currently rated as the tightest congressional race this fall. Inside Elections lists the race in PA10 as Tilt Republican, while Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report have it as a Toss-Up.