As the Republican Party continues to lose ground in the Philadelphia suburbs, a new poll shows that former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 25 point lead over President Donald Trump in the collar counties.
According to a new Delaware Valley Journal poll conducted by Praecones Analytica, 60.6% of registered voters in Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery counties said that they’d vote for Biden if the presidential election were held today, while 35.1% said that they’d vote for Trump. 2.6% said they were not sure who to support, while 1.7% said that they’d back another candidate.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Praecones Analytica favors Republicans by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B/C grade.
Analysis from the Delaware Valley Journal reports these results for Biden are “far outpacing” Sec. Hillary Clinton’s margin in 2016 in the Delaware Valley. 55% of voters in the Philadelphia suburbs backed Clinton, while 41% supported Trump.
While Trump trails Biden by 25 points in this region, the poll acknowledges that “shy Trump” voters could impact the presidential election. 47.6% said that they know of a friend, neighbor, or coworker who they believe plans to vote for Trump, but is keeping it a secret. 36.2% said that they don’t know of any of these “shy Trump” voters and 16.2% said that they aren’t sure.
This poll was released one day before the presidential debate.
A bevy of polls released in the last few weeks show Biden leading Trump in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5.7 points in Pennsylvania.
This poll, surveying 694 registered voters in Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery counties, collected data between Sept. 23-25, has a margin of error of +/- 3.7%.
The story and full data for the polling can be found in the Delaware Valley Journal story here.