The final Emerson College poll of very likely Republican voters in Pennsylvania show a preference for Mehmet Oz for U.S. Senate.
The poll was conducted May 14-15, 2022, and consisted of 1,000 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points.
Oz, the celebrity doctor, held a four-point advantage over Kathy Barnette and a seven-point bulge over former hedge fund CEO David McCormick. Former U.S. ambassador Carla Sands and businessman Jeff Bartos trailed with 6.3 and 5.0 percentage points, respectively.
In the PoliticsPA moving average of 14 polls since February, Oz has moved in front of McCormick by 0.5 points and leads the hard-charging Barnette by 6.9 points. Since the start of May, Oz has picked up 5.4 points from 22.5 to 27.9. Barnette has added three points from 20.9 to 23.9, while McCormick has added 2.4 points to his total.
Undecideds still dominate the race even at this late date, as nearly 15 percent of respondents indicated they had yet to make a decision in the Senate race.
Among the undecideds, McCormick has the largest total of those “leaning” at 31.7 percent, while Oz and Barnette have 29.5 and 20.9 percent, respectively.
Barnette has a favorability rate of 44.4 percent, while 27.0 percent hold an unfavorable mark toward her – a plus 17.4. Oz is at 39.2 and 48.2, respectively, for a minus-9 while McCormick comes in at 47.2 and 32.6 (+14.6).