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Emerson Poll: Biden Early Frontrunner in PA Dem Primary

If the former Vice President decides to make a bid for the White House, it appears he can count on Pennsylvania to support him in the Democratic primary.

According to a new Emerson College poll, former Vice President Joe Biden holds a significant lead over the rest of the potential Democratic 2020 hopefuls.

In the first Emerson poll of the year, Biden holds 39% of the vote in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary, while the next closest potential candidate is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who carries 20%. Only one other candidate reaches the double threshold, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) with 11%. In fourth place is Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana with 6% support.

The poll, surveying 359 Pennsylvania registered voters, collected data from March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

The poll also conducted five hypothetical head to head matchups between President Donald Trump and different Democratic 2020 contenders.

Both Biden and Sanders best Trump by a 10 point margin, 55-45 in a hypothetical 2020 race for the presidency.

Their polling also shows that Warren leads Trump by 4 points, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) by 3 points, and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke by 2 points. All three of these potential matchups fall within the margin of error.

This specific poll, surveying 808 Pennsylvania registered voters, took place from March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Polling from Emerson indicated that on specific issues, Trump is most popular with economic policy and abortion, tallying 50-50 approval rating. His lowest approval ratings come in on healthcare with 56% disapproving and 44% approving, and immigration with 55% disapproving and 45% approving.

Trump’s approval rating is 41% in the state, while 51% disapprove of his job performance. That poll included 311 registered Pennsylvania voters and the margin of error  for that survey is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

See the full data here.

8 Responses

  1. He “promised’ to stop harassing women lol Meanwhile the national D’s trying to get attention away by making claims about Pres Trump tax returns. Nice move, the national news guys are going along.

  2. This poll came out BEFORE we found out that old uncle Joe likes to touch women without their permission, and sniff their hair.

    1. Yeah, I remember back when we heard that tape of Biden saying “I better use some Tic Tacs just in case I start kissing her. You know I’m automatically attracted to beautiful—I just start kissing them. It’s like a magnet. Just kiss. I don’t even wait. And when you’re a star, they let you do it. You can do anything. Grab ’em by the pussy. You can do anything.”

      REMEMBER WHEN JOE BIDEN SAID THAT???? We’ve got the biggest pile of sh!t ever elected to any office in the history of the United States sitting in the Oval Office right now. AMERICA – GET YOUR MORALS BACK IN 2020 and throw that garbage out of our White House – the whole damn family.

      1. The only problem is that Joe Biden (Like Fairfax) Did these things at Political Campaign Events. What Trump said was over a Decade Ago in a Gym locker room type environment.

  3. It’s pretty clear that Biden is needed on the ticket or Trump will win PA. The progressives are puffing themselves up for one big let down should Biden not be the nominee. Pa has a really strong R base and it’s tough for Dems to win. Those who have won are more centerist and I just don’t see Dems winning without a centerist.

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