Emerson Poll: Clinton 46% Trump 43%
Emerson College has Clinton at 45.9% while Trump has 42.7%.
Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson was chosen by 6.9% of respondents while Green Party nominee Jill Stein got 1.5%.
Meanwhile, 56.2% believe that Hillary actually will win the presidency compared to just 35.3% who think The Donald will prevail. 1.5% are true believers in Johnson.
Neither candidate did well with the favorable/unfavorable splits, although Clinton’s numbers (41.5/54.9) were slightly better than Trump’s (39.5/57.7).
The Emerson College Polling Society conducted this survey with 800 likely voters from August 25th to 28th. The data was collected using an IVR (Interactive Voice Response) system that only includes landlines. The data was also weighted by the 2012 results. The margin of error is +/- 3.4%.
Many polling experts are wary of IVR surveys, as best epitomized by the New York Times’ Nate Cohn:
If you're writing up polls that don't have any means to contact vtrs without a landline, you're wasting everyone's time–most of all, yours
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 29, 2016