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Fetterman, Shapiro Top AARP Poll


Democrats John Fetterman and Josh Shapiro were the top choices for U.S. Senator and governor, respectively, in a survey conducted by AARP Pennsylvania.

In a poll conducted between June 12-19, Fetterman holds a six-point advantage (50-44) over Mehmet Oz in the race to become the Keystone State’s next senator. The lieutenant governor has a narrow three-point lead (49-46) among voters 50 and older. Fetterman (+10) has a 46 percent favorable rate with 36 percent looking on him unfavorably. Oz is underwater (-33) at 30 percent favorable and 63 percent unfavorable. Democrats are +80 on the former mayor of Braddock, while Republicans are just +15 on the celebrity doctor.

Shapiro has a slim three-point edge (49-46) over Doug Mastriano in the contest to become the next governor, although that advantage is within the poll’s +/-4.4% margin of error. The race is even narrower when only looking at voters over 50 with Shapiro in front by a single point. The Pennsylvania attorney general has a +13 favorable rating, while the GOP state senator is minus-7.

Large majorities of the respondents think that the country as well as the Commonwealth are headed on the wrong track at 84 and 77 percent, respectively. Eighty-four percent are extremely motivated to vote, including 87 percent of those 50 and older.

When asked which issue is personally most important in deciding your vote for Senate, 21 percent responded inflation and rising prices with 12 percent stating gun control/rights or honesty in government. Those numbers rise to 27 percent and 16 percent (honesty) when asked about the governor’s race.

AARP commissioned Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research to conduct this survey. The firms interviewed 1,382 likely Pennsylvania voters, which includes a statewide representative sample of 500 likely voters, with an oversample of up to 550 likely voters age 50 and older, and an oversample of up to 332 African-American/Black likely voters age 50 and older. The survey was conducted between June 12-19 via landline, cellphone, and SMS-to-web. The margin of error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 855 total sample of voters 50+ it is ±3.3%.

View the full survey results.

11 Responses

  1. The internals for both polls that have been conducted so far are very bad news for the Democrats, who continue to double down on garbage that no one outside of the local faculty lounge cares about.

  2. Abortion is now the only issue, I look for the polling leads of Shapiro and Fetterman to rocket into the 20s.

  3. Shapiro better come up with something to attract voters in W PA instead of shaming the Church and flouting pro-choice agenda

  4. What a JOKE!! Mastriano and R candidates will win – this article is nothing more than propaganda. They think what they tell you is reality will become reality- hard pass. We are AWAKE #Propaganda

  5. This shows that had Mastriano not been nominated the R’s would be crushing it so to speak. Highlighting plans for Pa and highlighting Mastriano’s negatives will drive the numbers up for Shapiro.

  6. Of those who think the country is on the wrong track, I bet there is a huge split on WHY they think so and what they name as the fault.
    The wrong track is the increasingly violent, hateful track of the anti-democracy Trump MAGA/GOP terrorists.

    1. Wait until Shapiro unleashes his full war chest on Mastriano. His lead will increase to 10% and eventually win the race by the same margin.

  • Understanding that basic education funding should/will be first, what should be the next highest priority for the General Assembly?

    • Raising The Minimum Wage (25%)
    • Legalizing Adult-Use Marijuana (24%)
    • None of the above. Something Else. (20%)
    • Economic Development (14%)
    • Higher Education (8%)
    • Public Transportation (8%)
    • Workforce Opportunities and Innovation (2%)

    Total Voters: 51

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