F&M Poll: Biden 50, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a several point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to a new Franklin & Marshall College poll

Biden leads Trump by 6 points, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. The former VP’s 6 point lead, 50%-to-44%, is identical to his lead among registered voters polled in the state as well. 

In September’s polling, Biden also held a 6 point lead over Trump among likely voters, 48%-to-42%, while his lead among registered voters was a tad higher with 49% backing Biden, while 40% supported Trump. 

42% say that Trump is doing an “excellent” or “good job” as president, while 51% say that Trump is doing a “poor” job, and 7% say he is doing “only a fair job” as president. The 42% approval rating is a slight bump from the previous month’s poll when 39% approved of Trump’s job approval rating. Trump’s job approval rating is “slightly lower” than President Barack Obama’s at the same point in his Presidency. 

Out of five specific issues/characteristics polled, Biden bests Trump on 4 of these issues among registered voters polled, while the president has the edge on one specific issue. 

Biden leads Trump on the following issues:  who will do a better job of keeping communities safe (47-to-42), who will better handle the job of commander in chief in the military (51-to-42), who will better manage issues related to race (53-to-44), and  who has the best plan to handle the coronavirus (53-to-31). 

Trump has the advantage over Biden on the economy. 48% say that Trump is most prepared to handle the economy, while 45% say Biden. 

COVID-19 remains the most important problem facing Pennsylvania registered voters today with 27% selecting the matter as the most important matter facing the state. 

The only other options that surpassed double digits in this poll was “government, politicians” being selected by 16% of people viewing it as the most important issue facing the state today, followed by 10% selecting “unemployment, personal finances.” 

A majority of polling in October has consistently shown Biden leading Trump in the state. Biden’s lead in this poll is close to the current Real Clear Politics average.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Civiqs/DailyKos poll of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. However, a Trafalgar Group poll released on Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. 

One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and one Democratic backed poll released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released this week shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania. 

This poll surveyed 558 likely voters, collected data between Oct. 19-25, has a margin of error of +/-5%. 

The full data can be found here.

October 29th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 3 Comments

3 thoughts on “F&M Poll: Biden 50, Trump 44”

  1. babs75 says:

    The Governor assures us the election vote will be fair.

    But he has endorsed Biden and is vocal anti Trump as is the Atty General.

    US Attys have to be tough and go after quickly anyone in the state Administration or elsewhere who violates or defrauds us in the voting process.

    1. Answer Desk says:

      Spoken like a true trumptard.

  2. truth says:

    Trump is LOSING.

Comments are closed.


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