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F&M Poll: Clinton 47% Trump 38%

hillary-clinton-happyFormer Secretary of State got a bit of a debate bump.

That’s according to the latest Franklin & Marshall poll, which has Hillary Clinton at 47% and Donald Trump at 38%. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson garnered 5%.

Last month, Clinton had a seven point advantage.

Those numbers are among likely voters, registered voters give Clinton a twelve point lead 48% to 36%.


Clinton’s favorability rating has jumped up to 47% (25% strongly, 22% somewhat) while her unfavorability rating sits at 50% (41% strongly, 9% somewhat).

On the other hand, Trump’s favorability dropped to 32% (20% strongly, 12% somewhat) and his unfavorability number hit 60% (54% strongly, 6% somewhat).


The Democratic nominee is ahead among the following groups: liberal (95/1), Democrats (78/11), nonwhites (72/16) Philadelphia residents (67/22), religiously unaffiliated (66/21), Allegheny residents (64/27) moderates (60/20), Southeast residents (59/33), those that don’t own a gun (58/28), those making over $75,000 a year (57/33), single never married (56/24), under 35 years old (55/19), those who aren’t born again Christian or Fundamentalist (55/32), Northeast residents (53/31), those with a college degree (53/33), independents (51/30), not currently married (50/33), females (49/37), full-time employees (49/37), retirees (48/39), whites (47/39), over 55 years old (47/40), 35 to 54 year olds (46/42), males (45/40), married (45/43), those with some college (45/43), those making under $35,000 a year (44/36), part-time employees (42/40) and Catholics (42/41).

The Republican nominee is ahead among the following groups: conservatives (77/7), Republicans (71/12), born again Christian or Fundamentalist (60/27), gun owners (56/31), Southwest residents (52/26), Protestants (51/37), Central residents (49/31), Northwest residents (49/37), high school graduate or less (46/35) and those making between $35,000 and $75,000 a year (44/39).


Franklin and Marshall also asked respondents a number of questions concerning the candidates’ personal attributes.

Clinton won on eight of the nine questions: has the experience to be President (60/18), is most prepared to handle foreign policy issues (60/23), beliefs are closest to how you feel about value issues (48/29), has the character and good judgment needed to be President (48/23) and best understands the concerns of ordinary Americans (48/32), will best protect the United States against terrorism (44/39), is most prepared to fix our economic problems (43/40) and is the most honest and trustworthy (34/29).

The other was a tie: will change government policies in a way that makes your life better (36/36).


Much like her convention bounce, Clinton is receiving another boost after the first debate. It’s worth remembering, though, that the DNC bounce faded so there’s no guarantee that these numbers will hold until November 8th. Nonetheless, the Democratic nominee is in a great position just over a month out.

This poll was conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College on behalf of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs. They surveyed 813 registered Pennsylvania voters, including 496 likely voters, from September 28th to October 2nd. The margin of error is +/- 4.8% for the registered voters results and +/- 6.1% for the likely voters results.

8 Responses

  1. Breaking! Dave Diano Poll Just Out! Clinton 99% Trump .5% Other .5%!!!!! Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha, Ha!!!!!

  2. HIllary and Bill sold White House Lincoln room nights to big contributors. How about an article about that?

  3. That’s a lot of crazy to unpack Jojo
    1. So is don
    2. Espionage? really? no didn’t happen.
    3. Not unprecedented, but has said she won’t do that as president.
    4. From politifact “No one recorded these brief meetings behind closed doors. Family members and Clinton disagree on what was said. ”
    5. Sketchy, but no wrong doing has been discovered
    6. Everyon including Don was in favor of intervention in libya. He’s on the record. gaddafi was committing genocide, and I’m positive you would be just as critical if they hadn’t effected a regime change.
    7. Pull out from Iraq was negotiated by the Bush administration, and before you go there, Trump was for the invasion in the only public statement he made before the war began.
    8. What are you referring to here? isn’t Trump the one advocating pulling out of NATO?
    9. That is one word. Care to elaborate on what Hillary did to Syria?
    10. First of all, Russia hacked the DNC emails to help your boy Don. Second, Don asked Russia to hack Hillary’s emails. Third, neither Russia nor China hacked her server.
    11. Don is running on a Russian reset of his own. He often speaks fondly of Putin, and plans to take a non-confrontational stance if elected. (I have no problem with improving relations with Russia, it’s just hypocritical to attack Hillary for doing so)
    12. Iranian sanctions come to mind. She negotiated sanctions tough enough to bring Iran to the bargaining table. (you can criticize the results of those negotiations, but they occurred after she left office. the sanctions were an unmitigated success)
    13. Aggressive in what sense?
    14. She has been the target of countless partisan investigations, that cost the tax payer millions of dollars, and have produced nothing amounting to evidence of corruption. It’s not true, and I’m tired of hearing about it.
    15. The FBI director does not work for the AG. You are spouting a ridiculous conspiracy theory. Loretta is a Democratic appointee, you were going to attack any decision she made anyway. bad optics that far from amounts to a “scandal”

    Take your crazy back to Breitbart where it’s welcome.

  4. Fascinating list, I’ll be sure to note that while Trump is firing another D list on Tru TV’s reboot of Celebrity Apprentice

  5. This is what the dems what in the white house:
    1. Hillary is a liar
    2. she was investigated by the fbi for espionage and corruption
    3. storing top secret emails on a personal server.
    4. lying to the parents of the 4 people killed in Benghazi
    5. destroying emails
    6. libya disaster
    7. pullout from iraq causing formation of isis
    8. causing allies not to trust the US
    9. Syria
    10. personal email server was almost certainly hacked by the Russians and Chinese
    11. failed Russian reset
    12. no accomplishments while in office.
    13. Russians and Chinese are aggressive.
    14. Corrupt
    15. Who through crooked means saved Hillary from being indicted? Bill had a little talk with Lynch of the DOJ and then magically several days later Comey, the head of the FBI, decided not to indict.

  6. Trump certainly does not deserve my vote. He seems like he has a screw loose. And he wants to screw his own daughter. Sicko!!

  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

    Total Voters: 112

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