F&M Poll: Clinton 49% Trump 38%

clinton-trump-debateHillary Clinton is ahead by double digits with a week to go.

That’s according to the latest Franklin & Marshall poll, which has Clinton leading Trump 49% to 38%. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein received 4% and 3% respectively.

Last month, Clinton’s lead was nine points.

Favorables

Clinton recorded a 46% favorability rating (27% strongly, 19% somewhat) against a 52% unfavorability rating 52% (44% strongly, 8% somewhat).

Meanwhile, Trump got a 35% favorability score (23% strongly, 12% somewhat) while 62% view him unfavorably (56% strongly, 6% somewhat).

Demographics

The Democratic nominee is ahead among the following groups: liberals (90/6), Democrats (81/11), Philadelphia residents (72/17), Allegheny residents (68/18), those with a college degree (64/24), Southeast residents (64/28), those that don’t own a gun (61/24), those who aren’t born again Christian or Fundamentalist (61/27), nonwhites (60/21), religiously unaffiliated (59/27), those making over $75,000 a year (59/34), not currently married (57/30), moderates (56/25), single never married (54/28), under 35 years old (54/30), part-time employees (53/31), females (53/34), Catholics (53/37), those making under $35,000 a year (50/36), whites (49/39), full-time employees (49/39), over 55 years old (49/41), retirees (48/41), 35 to 54 years old (47/39), married (46/43), males (45/43) and independents (38/34).

The Republican nominee is ahead among the following groups: conservatives (81/6), Republicans (74/12), born again Christian or Fundamentalist (69/19), gun owners (61/31), Southwest residents (60/32), those with some college (51/35), high school graduate or less (50/37), Central residents (49/33), Protestants (48/37), Northwest residents (47/39), those making between $35,000 and $75,000 a year (44/40) and Northeast residents (44/42).

Perceptions

Franklin and Marshall also asked respondents a number of questions concerning the candidates’ personal attributes.

Clinton won on all nine questions: has the experience to be President (61/17), is most prepared to handle foreign policy issues (59/24), beliefs are closest to how you feel about value issues (49/31), has the character and good judgment needed to be President (48/25) and best understands the concerns of ordinary Americans (45/33), will best protect the United States against terrorism (47/39), is most prepared to fix our economic problems (43/38), will change government policies in a way that makes your life better (37/36) and is the most honest and trustworthy (34/31).

Conclusion

A week from Election Day, Hillary Clinton maintains a healthy lead over her opponent. It is worth noting, however, that most of the interviews for this survey occurred before Jim Comey’s letter to Congress. It’s unclear how, or if, that would change the results.

This poll was conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College on behalf of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs. They surveyed 652 likely voters from October 26th to October 30th. The margin of error is +/- 5.1%.

8 Responses

  1. It is my expectation that Donald Trump will do a lot better than Pat Toomey. The McGinty Toomey could be accurate but I think F&M will be embarrassed this poll. Many are reluctant to publicly declare for Donald Trump (because, as the media been telling us, Donald Trump is racist, sexist, narcissistic fascist who will sell us out to Russia).

  2. Tim: Did the cops find anything? NO, because it does not exist. They might as well be looking for WMD in Iraq.

  3. Homer, the folks you talk about do not get sampled; and Tim no one ever said official fraud doesn’t exist. Official fraud can exist if we are not vigilant. Individuals trying to impersonate another voter is statistically non-existent. Furthermore, you want voter id for Federal elections? Then you will need an amendment to the Federal Constitution.

  4. SEPTA socialist workers party is on strike to extort higher wages and benefits from the taxpayers! My, oh my, how will those poor minority Democrats get to the polls?!

  5. Pennsylvania state police have raided a Delaware County political field office seeking evidence of possible voter-registration fraud, according to court records.

    In a warrant filed late last week in County Court, investigators said they were seeking documents, financial information, and lists of employees at the Norwood office of FieldWorks LLC, a national organization that often does street work for Democrats, records show.

    The warrant did not specify the nature of the probe, but said agents also were looking for “templates . . . utilized to construct fraudulent voter registration forms” and “completed voter registration forms containing same or similar identifying information of individuals on multiple forms.”
    But Democrats say voter fraud doesn’t happen?
    They’re wrong.

    We need Voter ID!

    http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/20161101_State_raids_Delco_offices__seeking_evidence_of_voter_registration_fraud.html

  6. She also leads in “Most likely to serve prison time”. I am always amazed at how many of the Democrat party core constituency- the lazy, the stupid, the weak- exist “up north”.

    Are government benefits worth selling this country down the river?

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