The latest Franklin & Marshall College poll released Thursday shows tight races for the GOP nominations for Senate and Governor.
Mehmet Oz has a one-point advantage over David McCormick among 317 Republican voters, 16 to 15 percent. Kathy Barnette came in third at seven percent, followed by Jeff Bartos (6%), Carla Sands (5%) and George Bochetto (2%). Forty-three percent of the respondents indicated that they did not know, while six percent noted “someone else.” This is a turnaround since the March poll which showed McCormick with a 13-11 lead over Sands and a three-point edge over Oz. Thirty-two percent of respondents indicated they were certain of their May 17 choice.
The data for this survey was almost finished went former president Donald Trump offered his endorsement for Oz. The celebrity heart surgeon was leading among those who identified with the Trump faction of the party with 22 percent, while 36 percent were undecided.
In the gubernatorial race, Doug Mastriano held a three-point lead over Bill McSwain, 15 to 12 percent, while Lou Barletta also finished in double figures (10%). Dave White was fourth (5%), while Melissa Hart and Joe Gale each received three percent. The race is clearly up for grabs, as 40 percent of the respondents indicated they did not know while seven percent responded “someone else.”
John Fetterman holds a commanding lead in the chase for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate. The lieutenant governor received 41 percent support of the 356 Democratic respondents to just 17 percent for Conor Lamb. His lead increased from 13 to 24 percent since the last F&M release in March. Malcolm Kenyatta came in at four percent. Fifty-three percent of respondents indicated they were certain of their choice.
In a generic ballot for all respondents, 44 percent said they would vote for the Republican choice for the House of Representatives in their district, opposed to 37 percent for the Democratic nominee.
Other findings include:
20 percent think the U.S. is headed in the right direction. 74 percent believe it’s on the wrong track.
29 percent think Pennsylvania is headed in the right direction. 57 percent believe it’s on the wrong track.
20 percent think government and politicians are the biggest problem facing PA today.
63 percent favor the elimination of the property tax
70 percent think that public schools in the state should teach students about the history of race and
racism in America
64 percent support passing a law in Pennsylvania that requires athletes to participate in sports based on their gender assigned at birth
33 percent believe that President Joe Biden is doing a good or excellent job
38 percent believe that Governor Tom Wolf is doing a good or excellent job
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted March 30 – April 10, 2022. The data included in this release represent the responses of 785 registered Pennsylvania voters, including 356 Democrats, 317 Republicans, and 112 independents. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.2 percentage points when the design effects from weighting are considered.