Fox News Labels PA As a Toss-Up for Presidential Race
Pennsylvania is currently a “Toss-Up” for the 2020 presidential election, according to the Fox News presidential power rankings.
In an article published on May 8, the Keystone State is one of six states listed as Toss-Ups and is the state with the second most electoral votes up for grabs in this column. Other states included in this category include Florida, who has 29 Electoral votes, Ohio’s 18 Electoral votes, North Carolina’s 15 Electoral votes, Arizona’s 11 Electoral votes, and Wisconsin’s 10 Electoral votes.
Chris Stirewalt writes in the article that knowing Pennsylvania helps explain why Democrats “settled” on former Vice President Joe Biden as their nominee and pointed to his Scranton roots and appeal to the “traditional Democratic politics of the state.”
“There are a lot of ways to explain how Democrats settled on Biden for their nominee, but none of them is as clear as Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes,” Stirewalt writes. “A native of Scranton in the state’s industrial east, Biden typifies the traditional Democratic politics of the state: moderation, blue-collar appeal and a folksy style.”
Stirewalt continues to explain that Sec. Hillary Clinton’s loss in the state in 2016 represented a “low point for the modern Democratic Party,” and that there is optimism that Biden brings to putting Pennsylvania back in the win column, although President Donald Trump has support among Democrats who supported “Democrats like Biden in the past.”
“Hillary Clinton’s loss in big, blue Pennsylvania was a low point for the modern Democratic Party, one they believe Biden will reverse.,” Stirewalt writes. “But Trump is not without advantages. Those same voters who had supported Democrats like Biden in the past show a strong affinity for the incumbent.”
“The reality may be that Democrats have lost places like Wilkes-Barre and Scranton and will have to make up the difference elsewhere,” Stirewalt continues. “Key battlegrounds will be in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh suburbs where Republicans must stop their ongoing losses and in urban centers where Democrats must energize African-American voters who were cool on Clinton.”
Neither party has the 270 electoral votes needed to capture the White House, but Stirewalt writes that Biden is starting with an “advantage” in the race as of now. 249 electoral votes are either “likely” or “lean” Democratic in the presidential power rankings, while Republicans have 186 electoral votes that are listed as either “likely” or “leans” in their favor.
He does note that the GOP starting at this point is “typical of a party that tends to fare poorly in densely populated areas,” and pointed to Democrats already counting on New York and California as solid blue states that will provide a significant amount of electoral votes, while Texas is the only state in their rankings that is “reliably red” that has 20 more more electoral votes.
There are 103 electoral votes in the Toss-Up column as of now.
See the full Presidential Power Rankings from Fox News here.