Governing Magazine Projects GOP Likely to Hold Onto Legislative Majorities
Louis Jacobson of Governing Magazine analyzed the battles to control the state legislatures in all fifty states and found 27 chambers are in play. At the moment, though, neither of Pennsylvania’s are included in that total.
They are both categorized as “Likely Republican”.
“Pennsylvania Republicans enjoy disproportionately large margins in both chambers thanks to redistricting, despite the state’s overall purple-to-blue lean,” Jacobson writes. “Trump’s presence on the ballot could hurt in some suburban areas if voters punish down-ballot Republicans. But even if the GOP loses seats there, Trump is strong in other parts of the state, and it’s not likely to be enough to flip either chamber this cycle.”
So while PA has many competitive statewide contests, it doesn’t appear that they’ll be any notable shift in the most local races.