Gravis Poll: Obama 48, Romney 45

The presidential contest in Pa. is a 3 point race according to a poll from Gravis Marketing. Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48 percent to 45.

The firm conducted an automated survey of 887 likely Pennsylvania voters on October 21. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 3.3 percent. 45 percent of respondents identified as Democrats and 37 percent as Republicans.

Obama leads among women by 8 points, 51 percent to 43. Romney leads among men (49 percent to 45) and independents (41 percent to 39).

Voters took a negative view of Obama’s job performance, 48 percent to 44.

This is the first Pa. poll we’ve seen from Gravis this cycle. Nate Silver of The New York Times reports that its results have a Republican lean.

The Real Clear Politics average of Pa. polls (which includes the Gravis numbers) shows Obama ahead by 4.8 points, 50 percent to 45.2 percent for Romney.

3 Responses

  1. Silver from the NYTimes is drinking the Obama Kool-Aid. The poll is +8 democrats. I think that the difference between the two parties will be closer than that:+2-+4 for the democrats. I believe it is a toss up.

  2. How can anyone Vote for OBAMA he has hid all his information on himself we don’t know who he is.That is Decietfull and people are even thinking about voting for him shame on you.And i dare any of you to look up socialism and then decide if you want to live like that please leave this USA we do not want this here.

  3. “Nate Silver of The New York Times reports that its results have a Republican lean.”

    Um, no they dont. Their sample for this poll is 45D/37R/18I. The D+8 sample makes the poll lean democrat as the 2008 exit poll was D+7 and 2010 was D+3.

Comments are closed.

  • Who Will Be Speaker of the PA House on February 28?

    • Joanna McClinton (68%)
    • Mark Rozzi (27%)
    • A Republican TBD (5%)

    Total Voters: 315

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