Attorney General Kathleen Kane leads a hypothetical matchup against Admiral Joe Sestak for the Democratic nomination to face Senator Pat Toomey in 2016, according to Harper Polling.
Unlike Sestak, she hasn’t declared her intention to run for the seat but she leads him in a head-to-head match-up 47% to 24%.
29% are undecided, more than two years away from the election.
Sestak has been boldly campaigning since 2010 when Toomey eked out a win over him in the general election. Kane on the other hand, hasn’t made any statements inferring her intention to run, but she raised eyebrows when she hired fundraising guru Aubrey Montgomery last December.
Kane’s lead is bolstered by the Pittsburgh/Southwest region where she leads 49% to 17%. Sestak’s name ID in that region is only 37%.
She’s got a favorable image in that region too, 46% favorable to 10% unfavorable.
Sestak leads by 6% in the Philadelphia/Southeast region, 35% to 29%. His image in the Southeast is 46% favorable to 9% unfavorable while Kane’s image is 38-13%. His stronger performance in the Southeast is likely due to the time he spent as a Congressman representing Delaware County in the 7th District.
Unsurprisingly, Kane holds a 31% lead among women but she also holds a 15% lead among men.
Ideologically, she polls consistently higher than Sestak. Among liberals, 47.89% to 26.76%. Among moderates, 49.13% to 24.86%. Among conservatives, 44.68% to 31.91%.
Montgomery County Commissioner Josh Shapiro was not surveyed, but his strong fundraising report from 2013 fuels the rumor that he will also be in the Democratic field for Senate.
The sample size for the survey is 501 likely voters and the margin of error is +/-4.38%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted February 22-23, 2014 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.