Harper Poll: Shapiro 41% Zappala 23% Morganelli 15%

Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro will head into tomorrow’s Democratic AG primary full of confidence, with the latest Harper Poll giving him an 18-point lead over his closest challenger.

Montco Commissioner Shapiro picked up 41% in the poll, with Allegheny County DA Stephen Zappala sitting on 23%. Northampton County DA John Morganelli rounds out the group with 15%, though more than a fifth of likely voters have yet to decide who to cast their ballots for on Tuesday.

Shapiro solidified the big gains he has made over the last two months, adding another 8 points from a Harper Poll at the beginning of April. Zappala has also made some movement, picking up 6 points, though the gap continues to widen.

The poll shows each Democratic candidate leading in their home-regions. 61% in the Philadelphia/Southeast region back Shapiro and 57% in Pittsburgh and the Southwest are voting for Zappala.

38% in Scranton/Lehigh Valley support Morganelli, though Shapiro has carved into Morganelli’s lead and now trails him by just 7 points in the region.

Shapiro also comes out on top in the South Central region, leading Zappala 39% to 20%. The Northern Tier is essentially split between Zappala and Shapiro, 29% to 28% respectively.

President Obama’s pick for the nomination leads across all ideologies, from conservative to very liberal Democrats, but Zappala holds an edge among those who don’t know where they’d be on the political spectrum.

40% of males and 42% of females are behind Shapiro and he holds solid advantages among all age groups, with the exception of voters ages 40-54 where his lead is just 3%. 59% of African-Americans are also supporting the Montco commissioner’s campaign, the poll shows.

Shapiro is expected to pick up votes from 45% of Hillary Clinton supporters and 34% of Bernie Sanders’ backers.

Shapiro, Zappala and Morganelli are vying to become the second Democrat to hold the state’s highest legal office, with embattled Democratic AG Kathleen Kane on her way out after pulling out of the race in February.

Harper Polling surveyed 641 likely Democratic primary voters through cellphone interviews with live operators and landline interviews conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR). The poll took place between on April 21st and April 23rd. The margin of error is +/- 3.9%.

29 Responses

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  2. I cannot believe Kane is STILL STANDING. We threw everything but the kitchen sink at her. This sucks …

  3. Indict little Stevie for playing politics on the job, the same thing he indicted the Orie girls for. If he made or received even one phone call for political use from his office, there is no difference between them. As corrupt, stupid and lazy as he is, I’ll bet Kathy Kane can find a lot. It’s time to redd up, junior! Company’s coming.

  4. jax — seems you need to figure out the facts. According to Inquirer:

    “The emails were exchanged among friends in at times overlapping social networks. As the Inquirer has previously reported, McCaffery sent problematic emails to a wide range of recipients, including Eakin and two current members of the state Supreme Court, Max Baer and Kevin Dougherty.

    Through a court spokesman, Baer and Dougherty declined to comment Tuesday. Baer received 10 of the offensive postings, Dougherty three.”

    Why was Kevin Dougherty, a Philadelphia Judge, receiving any e-mails from McCaffery? And what about the stuff on AG servers? Did Kevin get any of those?

    Seth Williams hired Fina & The Corbett Pervs. He recorded a commercial for Kevin Dougherty. And then he gave John Dougherty a FREE PASS on a violent crime. Coincidences, I guess …..

    I’d be happy to believe you on Kevin. But I’d need to know for sure he wasn’t part of the Clown Car smearing Kane/ enjoying granny porn/suggesting that women in the workplace need to perform oral sex on their bosses to advance their careers.

    It has also been reported that Kevin spent his first day on Sepreme Court making moves on behalf of Michael Eakin. If that’s true — No sale. He’s in bed with Fina & The Corbett Pervs.

  5. Haha-Kevin Doigherty has no connection to porngate. Get your facts straight or shut your pie hole. Kevin is an honorable man and one of the best people to get elected to the Supreme Court in years. His “connection”, if you want to call it that, was the receipt of one pro military email from justice Mccaffery.

  6. Josh has run an amazing campaign. Best wishes tomorrow. Across Pennsyvania voters will be cheering for you to be our next Attorney General. You truly are a public servant. Looking forward to working for the state team of Eugene, Josh, and Joe. Our State Auditor, Attorney General, and State Treasurer.

  7. Good polling here people because and that’s the way is I want to see tomorrow.

  8. If dats true gulag — den Zappala is gonna winz it? Cuz dat boy must be connected to some’in. Cuz dat dumm ass – he speaks even worster dan me. How he even have dat job in Bisstburgh?

  9. Chris: All that State Dem Committee proved is that the mob is the power behind the Party in PA.

  10. And now the truth comes out:


    Johnny Doc has been supporting Zappala all along. They just wanted to hide it for as long as possible!!

    Is it a coincidence that John Dougherty is supporting Zappala – the man that testified against the sitting Democrat AG? The very same AG that has evidence that John’s brother, Kevin Dougherty, was involved in Porn-gate?

    Someone from the Zappala campaign needs to explain why this is coming out at the last minute? I mean – Zappala wants Johnny Doc to get out the union vote. So – he has to say something. But, why in the 11th hour? Why on the eve of the Primary?

    Could it be that Zappala is a scheming POS who is aligned with shady characters – like Johnny Doc, Fina & The Corbett Pervs, and Kids For Cash bad actors?

  11. Observer-

    “METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 641 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania and the margin of error is +/-3.9%. Responses were gathered through cell phone interviews conducted using live operators and land line interviews conducted using Interactive Voice Response.”

  12. It’s a bad poll. Bad poll! PAD POLL !!!!!!!!!!!

    Just ignore the polls. Ignore Little Stevie’s association with Johnny Doc. Ignore the thousands of dollars he had to give back to a convicted FELON!!! Ignore his family connection to “Kids For Cash” scandal.

    You know what …. I give up … just ignore Little Stevie. He hardly left Pittsburgh for this so-called campaign. He kinda deserves to lose. Sorry for wasting your time.

  13. We cannot afford an Attorney general who looks the other way on serious crimes for his own personal benefit and gain. Zappala has been dangerously complacent” looking the other way”

    Zapppala connection to Kids for Cash


    The murder of Jerry Jackson who was shot 13 times after a traffic stop where Zappala brags in his ad that the police officer was convicted. Not so fast…see the truth from Cyril Wect. He was there.


    Zappalas get millions from PA gaming. Mobster Louis DeNaples contributes to campaign, money is returned only after it comes to light.

  14. Zappala came the closest by far of all statewide candidates at getting endorsed at the Democratic Committee winter meeting. Further proof that a party endorsement is literally useless.

  15. Diano — the numbers are high, I agree. But, Hillary and Josh are going to win. The most curious is the senate race. Joe is going to win.

  16. The same poll has McGinty over Sestak 39-33 and Hillary over Bernie by 61-33.

    I suspect the poll was taken at a Rendell hosted party. 🙂

  17. How mad are you Republicans that even after the Kane abomination, we will still hold the office.

  18. Gees oh Man. now we have to face Josh. We were excited about winning the office back.. Stevie was a walk in the park to beat. oh well. Back to caring only about out Toomey boy.

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