Heritage Action Poll: Biden 50, Trump 46
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a slight edge over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to this conservative group.
Heritage Action for America, a group turns “conservative ideas into reality,” conducted a battleground survey of four states including Pennsylvania. 50% of likely general election voters in Pennsylvania said that they’d vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 46% said that they’d vote for Trump.
Of the four states polled, Pennsylvania is the lone state that shows Biden with a lead over Trump. The polling from this conservative group shows Biden and Trump tied in Florida and Wisconsin, while the president has a 3 point lead in Arizona.
Trump’s job approval and favorability rating in this poll are also slightly under water. 49% either strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job performance, while 50% strongly or somewhat disapprove.
45% have a favorable view of Trump, while just over half, 51%, have an unfavorable view of him. Biden’s favorability rating is slightly above water. 48% have a favorable view of Biden, while 46% have an unfavorable view of him.
Trump trailing in this poll could be attributed to a majority of likely voters in the state believing that the country is going in the wrong direction. 29% of likely voters say that the country is heading in the right direction, while 61% say that the country is on the wrong track.
One specific brightspot that Trump can point to in this poll is how likely voters view his performance on the economy. 53% polled said that they approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 43% disapprove.
Although Trump is behind Biden in this poll, likely voters are more divided when asked what party they’d vote for on a generic congressional ballot and which party they trust more to rebuild the economy.
Likely voters are split, 43%-to-43%, when asked if they’d support the generic Republican candidate for Congress or the generic Democratic candidate. 45% said that they trust the Republican Party more to rebuild the economy following the COVID-19 pandemic, while 43% said that they trust the Democratic Party more, and 12% said neither party.
46% of voters agreed with they agreed with the following statement – “Some people say that Joe Biden suffers from some level of diminished mental capacity and because of this they fear that if he is elected president his administration will be staffed with very liberal socialists given to him by Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer and the Democrat National Committee.” 45% of voters said that they disagreed with that statement.
Likely voters from this conservative backed poll also had an overall negative view of both Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY). 52% said that they had an unfavorable view of Pelosi, while 40% said that they had a favorable view of the current Speaker. 45% said that they had an unfavorable view of Ocasio-Cortez, while 31% said they have a favorable view of the congresswoman.
This poll from Heritage Action, surveying 400 likely Pennsylvania voters collected data between August 2-4, has a margin of error of +/- 4.90%. FiveThirtyEight doesn’t have a grade for polling from Heritage Action.
The Biden vs Trump results from this GOP friendly poll paint a bit of a more positive picture for the president in comparison to other public polls between the two in the state. The Real Clear Politics average shows Biden leading Trump by 6.4 points in Pennsylvania.
The full battleground survey can be found here.