Inquirer Poll: Casey 48, Smith 38

Is it time to hold the phone on the “Smith surge”? A poll commissioned by the Philadelphia Inquirer shows Sen. Bob Casey with a strong lead over Republican challenger Tom Smith.

48 percent of poll respondents chose the freshman Democratic Senator; 38 percent chose Smith.

The survey of 600 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 4-8 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

From the Inquirer:

Jeffrey Plaut, leader of Global Strategy Group, the Democratic half of the Inquirer polling team, said that while the race “has definitely tightened,” Casey still appeared “in good shape to win.”

Adam Geller, of National Research Inc., the Republican half, saw Casey’s support as soft and said history shows that a majority of undecided voters – 14 percent, as of now – are apt to tilt to the challenger in the end. He said that Smith still had a chance and that “the ball can take funny bounces.”

Smith has closed the gap in recent weeks. Where once he trailed Casey by double digits, an average of polling by Real Clear Politics (which doesn’t yet include the Inky’s numbers) show the Senator ahead by 5.8 points.

October 12th, 2012 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Senate, Top Stories | 6 Comments

6 thoughts on “Inquirer Poll: Casey 48, Smith 38”

  1. Pam says:

    Polls are wrong until the a Republican is in the lead.

  2. Kathleen3 says:

    A poll conducted by the Philadelphia Inquirer is analogous to a poll conducted by David Axelrod/Valerie Jarrett.

  3. politigator says:

    The Inquirer? We all know this is bogus. What, did they do go into downtown Philly and ask 5 people? Seriously what a joke. Even if Casey is still ahead, the trend would not have swung back to him leading by 10 points. These people have to be kidding.

  4. Alex Hamilton says:

    internals, please?

  5. Molly P says:

    Does anyone else think that the Philadelphia Inquirer might lean way to the left?

  6. delco observer says:

    Kathleen Kane…WOW! and Corbett still under water?

Comments are closed.