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Inquirer Poll: Obama 50, Romney 42

President Obama has weathered Mitt Romney’s bounce, according to the latest poll from the Philadelphia Inquirer. He leads Romney by 8 points, just slightly narrower than 11 point lead he had in a poll commissioned by the newspaper in mid-September.

The survey of 600 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 4 to the 8th via live telephone interviews. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percent.

From the Inky:

“Our poll, and the vast majority of polling in Pennsylvania, shows a structural lead for the president which has held up,” said pollster Jeffrey Plaut, a partner in the Global Strategy Group, the Democratic firm in The Inquirer poll. “That lead is buttressed and framed by a very significant gender gap,” he said.

“As a campaign pollster, I wouldn’t take great comfort from these numbers if I were advising Obama,” said Plaut’s Republican counterpart, Adam Geller of National Research Inc. “When you’re an incumbent at 50 percent, you’re treading water, and we know that most undecideds break to the challenger.”

Odds and ends:

Obama leads among women, 55 percent to 37; Romney leads 48 percent to 43.

The president leads by 27 points in the five-county area that includes Philadelphia and its suburbs: 58 percent to 31 percent for Romney.

More than three quarters of likely Pennsylvania voters said they watched at least part of the first debate in Denver; 43 percent said they saw all of it. 84 percent of likely voters said they watched coverage of it.

Of those who watched some of the debate, 65 percent said Romney won versus 15 percent who picked Obama.


On education, Obama 52 percent, Romney 33.
On Medicare, Obama 49 percent to Romney 36.
On taxes, Obama 45 percent, Romney 43
On jobs and the economy, Romney 47 percent, Obama 43
On the federal deficit, Romney 48 percent, Obama 38.

6 Responses

  1. Um…. idiots…. for many pollsters, the Dem or Rep sampling is based upon how the voters self-identify themselves, rather than voter registration records. If the sample is randomly taken, the self-identify is valid over the registration. Also, the “likely voter” designation is based upon asking the person if they are likely to vote. For the campaigns, they determine “likely voter” by a person’s past voting history to project the likelihood of them voting.

    Obama’s going to win PA in landslide. The addition of Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson will more than balance Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and will take a percent or two from Romney.

  2. The polls mean nothing unless people actually get out and vote. People better educate themselves and listen to facts. Not the hate-mongering caused by billionaire coal company owners pushing for the rich man’s candidate, Mitt Romney. Romney will work for the corporations and the rest of us will pay dearly for it.

  3. More trash from the Democrat-controlled Inquirer. “Maybe if we keep saying it, it will become so” approach to reporting. Hacks.

  4. Another reason why I and many like me have cancelled our Inquirer subscriptions. The paper and poll are only good to store dead fish in. Seriously and you guys report this junk?? I hope you libs believe it. This just in. NBC/WSJ Poll which shows Obama up in Ohio has a plus 11 Dem sample. F. Chuck Todd actually admitted it today on Morning Joe.

  5. I call bull…

    Romney is doing worse with Democrats than Obama is doing with Republicans?

    No crosstabs either.

  • Understanding that basic education funding should/will be first, what should be the next highest priority for the General Assembly?

    • Raising The Minimum Wage (25%)
    • Legalizing Adult-Use Marijuana (24%)
    • None of the above. Something Else. (20%)
    • Economic Development (14%)
    • Higher Education (8%)
    • Public Transportation (8%)
    • Workforce Opportunities and Innovation (2%)

    Total Voters: 51

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