A newly-released internal poll commissioned by the Shamaine Daniels campaign shows the three-term Harrisburg city councilwoman with a 44-41 advantage over Scott Perry in the race for the 10th Congressional District seat in the U.S. House.
The poll, provided by Public Policy Polling, has Daniels with a three-point lead among likely voters in the district and a four-point margin (49-45) after voters are told more information about the candidates.
The analysts at FiveThirtyEight give the pollster an overall A- grade.
“Voters in PA-10 are sick and tired of extremist, violent rhetoric and the politics of division represented by Scott Perry,” said Daniels in a press release. “They are ready to elect leaders who are going to listen to them and fight for them on the issues that matter. My opponent doesn’t even respect their vote, much less their voice. He is more concerned with Donald Trump’s needs than those of the people he was elected to represent, and they have had enough.”
Perry, the five-term congressman from York County, has a favorability rating of 40 percent to just 23 percent for those aware of Daniels. But Perry is underwater with a 48 percent viewing him unfavorably, compared to just 15 percent for Daniels. It is noteworthy that 63 percent of the respondents indicated they were unsure whether or not they have a favorable opinion of Daniels or do not know her name.
Upon hearing that Daniels is a strong supporter of reproductive rights, 42 percent of respondents said they would be more likely to support her, while 29 percent said the opposite.
Perry’s numbers suffered due to his involvement with overturning the 2020 election. Forty-seven percent said they were less likely to vote for him after hearing he reportedly asked former President Donald Trump for a pardon, while 45 percent said they were less likely to send Perry back to Washington after hearing he voted “no” on the infrastructure bill.
Twelve and 23 percent of respondents, respectively, said they would be more likely to vote for Perry in November.
“Congressman Perry’s attention is focused on the unaffordable cost of living under which his constituents are suffering, not internal polling paid for by his opponent,” said campaign spokesperson Matt Beynon.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 714 likely voters in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District from August 9-10, 2022. The margin of error is +/- 3.7%. 50% of interviews for the survey were conducted by telephone and 50% by text message.
The story has been updated to include a quote from the Perry campaign.