That’s the conclusion one gets when reading an internal memo prepared for the Montgomery County Commissioner.
“Josh holds an initial lead in the race based on his greater statewide name recognition anchored by his stature in the Philadelphia media market,” they write. “While a majority of the electorate is still undecided due to its unfamiliarity with all the candidates, we are in a strong position to aggressively introduce Josh given our $1.4 million dollars cash-on-hand and the finance team’s recent projections to raise $2-$3 million more.”
While a majority, 51%, of respondents are undecided the survey gave us our first look at the next year’s Democratic primary.
Josh Shapiro received 18% while Pittsburgh DA Stephen Zappala (we broke the news that he was running yesterday) came in second with 16%. Rounding out the field were: Northampton County DA John Morganelli (8%), Pittsburgh attorney Dave Fawcett (4%) and former federal prosecutor Jack Stollsteimer (3%).
Shapiro’s advantage comes in large part from being from the Philadelphia area and having a higher name ID than his potential opponents.
Finally, the memo argued for making the Commissioner’s executive experience a central tenant of a Shapiro campaign.
Global Strategy Group surveyed 802 likely voters from November 19th to 23rd. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.