Internal Poll Shows Fetterman in Front

The John Fetterman campaign released an internal poll that showed Fetterman with a commanding lead in the race for the Democratic nomination for the PA U.S. Senate seat.

If the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania was being held tomorrow, who would you vote for?

46% – John Fetterman

16% – Conor Lamb

12% – Malcolm Kenyatta

4% – Val Arkoosh

22% – Not Sure

The internal numbers are an improvement from a similar internal poll last May which had Fetterman with a 40-21 lead over Lamb. Kenyatta jumped three points from 9 to 12 and Arkoosh dropped a single point.

From January 26 to 31, 2022, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 730 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania using SMS respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, geography, and voting history.

A friendly reminder: The reason political campaigns conduct polls boils down to two things. One is to provide the campaign with critical strategic information and a read on the state of the race — this kind of information is rarely released to the public. The other reason to commission it is as a bit of spin — to manipulate the process with the goal of convincing donors to open their checkbooks, or to persuade the public and the press that a candidate is viable. This side of the polling coin is what the public usually sees.

Data for Progress is a progressive think tank and polling firm arming movements with the tools they need to fight for a more equitable future. Led by Sean McElwee, they  produce quality polling, data-based messaging, and policy generation for progressive causes, campaigns, and candidates. 

8 Responses

  1. Say hello to Senator Oz. Pa is a centrist state. R’s run both houses. Oz is a celebrity and the only Dem to win multiple terms in decades-is Casey. Off year election with Dems White House. Tea leaves good for R’s in Senate. Horrible cast of R’s in Gov race and Dem workers at State Committee like Shapiro. Gov race Brighter spot for Dems.

    1. Hot take. Carpetbagger Oz would be crushed by JFett. The elephant is McCormick and all that cash. That would be a donnybrook.

    2. Specter won re-election in 2010 as a Democrat as well, it’s not only Casey as you claim.

      Just because you’re desperate to wish it so doesn’t make it true.

        1. Alexander is correct. Specter had six years of opposition research against Toomey and $10 million cash on hand before (Virginia resident) Joe Sestak f*cked it all up.

          Seats pissed away $5 million of his own money (mostly raised under false presences to defend his Congressional seat) and all Specter’s money. $15 million gone, and not a dime of it spent against Toomey.

          Sestak failed to pivot to the center, and Toomey lied his ass off to get the center.

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