Two candidates, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, are vying to be the Democratic nominee. Meanwhile Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and John Kasich are all battling for the nomination of the Republican Party.
The latest Mercyhurst Poll tested all eight possible head-to-head matchups for November with PA voters.
The former Secretary of State split the results.
She leads businessman Donald Trump 43% to 35% and Texas Senator Ted Cruz 45% to 42%.
Hillary trails, however, against Ohio Governor John Kasich (36/49) and Florida Senator Marco Rubio (39/47).
The Vermont Senator fared about as well as his Democratic counterpart.
Sanders also leads in two potential 1-on-1 contests, 49% to 37% over Trump and 48% to 40% over Cruz.
He trails Kasich (42/46) and Rubio (41/46).
Mercyhurst also asked the respondents to pick from all six candidates regardless of potential matchups.
Clinton came in first with 25% while Trump took second with 16% and Sanders came in third with 15%. Kasich, Cruz and Rubio finished with 13%, 11% and 8% respectively.
“It’s likely that if Trump wins the Republican nomination, he’ll be beginning the general election campaign in Pennsylvania behind the Democratic candidate,” Dr. Joseph Morris, Director of the Mercyhurst Center for Applied Politics explained.
“This is the first time in many years that a contested convention is a real possibility for the Republicans,” he continued. “If this turns out to be the case, it’s difficult to determine who will ultimately be chosen as the party’s general election candidate. For Pennsylvanians, the choice is clear. Voters would much rather see the Republican Party nominate Rubio or Kasich than Trump or Cruz.”
“Pennsylvania has not voted for a Republican president since 1988,” Morris noted. “The fact that we have two Republican candidates leading the two potential Democratic nominees is worth noting. If Republicans hope to win Pennsylvania in November, they would do well to give Kasich and Rubio another look.”
Mercyhurst University’s Center for Applied Politics surveyed 421 registered Pennsylvania voters from March 1st to 11th. The margin of error is 4.8%.