Mercyhurst Poll: Presidential Head-to-Head Matchups

Hillary-ClintonThere are six presidential nominees still running at this moment.

Two candidates, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, are vying to be the Democratic nominee. Meanwhile Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and John Kasich are all battling for the nomination of the Republican Party.

The latest Mercyhurst Poll tested all eight possible head-to-head matchups for November with PA voters.

Clinton

The former Secretary of State split the results.

She leads businessman Donald Trump 43% to 35% and Texas Senator Ted Cruz 45% to 42%.

Hillary trails, however, against Ohio Governor John Kasich (36/49) and Florida Senator Marco Rubio (39/47).

Sanders

The Vermont Senator fared about as well as his Democratic counterpart.

Sanders also leads in two potential 1-on-1 contests, 49% to 37% over Trump and 48% to 40% over Cruz.

He trails Kasich (42/46) and Rubio (41/46).

Mercyhurst also asked the respondents to pick from all six candidates regardless of potential matchups.

Clinton came in first with 25% while Trump took second with 16% and Sanders came in third with 15%. Kasich, Cruz and Rubio finished with 13%, 11% and 8% respectively.

“It’s likely that if Trump wins the Republican nomination, he’ll be beginning the general election campaign in Pennsylvania behind the Democratic candidate,” Dr. Joseph Morris, Director of the Mercyhurst Center for Applied Politics explained.

“This is the first time in many years that a contested convention is a real possibility for the Republicans,” he continued. “If this turns out to be the case, it’s difficult to determine who will ultimately be chosen as the party’s general election candidate. For Pennsylvanians, the choice is clear. Voters would much rather see the Republican Party nominate Rubio or Kasich than Trump or Cruz.”

“Pennsylvania has not voted for a Republican president since 1988,” Morris noted. “The fact that we have two Republican candidates leading the two potential Democratic nominees is worth noting. If Republicans hope to win Pennsylvania in November, they would do well to give Kasich and Rubio another look.”

Mercyhurst University’s Center for Applied Politics surveyed 421 registered Pennsylvania voters from March 1st to 11th. The margin of error is 4.8%.

8 Responses

  1. Still wrong on the sanders-Trump matchup: “Sanders also leads in two potential 1-on-1 contests, 46% to 39% over Trump …” The correct values are 49%-37%, as already noted and sourced. C’mon, you can do better!

  2. Dave Francis, I don’t know where you got those ” facts,” but wow, you literally got zero percent correct. Congratulations! YOU are the face of modern conservatism: fact-free, bigoted, xenophobic, and profoundly clueless.

  3. These sentences in Field’s post are inaccurate, based on the Mercyhurst report: “Sanders only leads in one potential contest, a 1-on-1 matchup with Cruz, 48% to 40%. He trails Trump (39/46), Kasich (42/46) and Rubio (41/46).”

    See the Summary of Findings page: The *actual numbers* for Sanders versus Trump are 49% to 37%. Also see the tabulations for Q17 near the end of the report.

    So, Sanders beats both Cruz and Trump. And he beats Trump by a bigger margin than Clinton. Distressing that Field gets it so wrong. Please post a correction!

  4. Figures. Because Rubio and Kasich are the only sane candidates left on the Republican side!

  5. JOHN KASICH, ALLOWED 45000 MUSLIMS INTO OHIO FREE APARTMENT, WELFARE, MEDICAL AND OBVIOUSLY FORGOT AMERICANS, KASICH COLLECTED $200.000 DOLLARS FROM GEORGE SOROS, EXTREME SOCIALIST ADVISOR. KASICH SUPPORTED BY GOLDMAN-SACHS SHARIA COMPLIANT LOANS THAT ARE A THREAT TO THE CONSTITUTION AND THE REPUBLIC. KASICH ALSO VOTED ‘YES’ ON BILL CLINTON’S 1994 GUN BAN. IN AUGUST 2015 KASICH “I’M FINE WITH ABORTION; IT IS THE LAW OF THE LAND.” AND KASICH SUPPORTED OBAMACARE IN THE STATE OF OHIO. INCLUDING HIS PRO COMMON CORE STANCE AND IN CONCLUSION HE WANTS TO CLOSE MILITARY BASES.

    Ohio lost 112,500 jobs due to Kasich trade with transpacific partnership (TPP) countries owing to KASICH.

    During which 2016 GOP presidential contender John Kasich (R-OH) pledges to submit a comprehensive immigration reform plan that includes a path to legalization to Congress in the first 100 days of his Administration, if he is elected President.

    Whether you believe it or not Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and John Kasick in one way or another have had a positive attitude to the illegal alien invasion. If one of them becomes the nominee, it’s unfortunate, but they are condemned to do any favor for the donors who are paying their way through the primaries–it always is a definite conclusion. Each year the annual cost goes up and currently its over $150 Billion dollars, exactly the same amount that Obama and Kerry is sending to the Imams of Iran.

    10 illegal alien facts from the National Immigration Center (NIC)
    1. More than 35% of all Food Stamps are given to illegal aliens.
    2. 95% of warrants for murder in Los Angeles country for illegal aliens.
    3 Less than 2% of illegal aliens are picking crops, but 41% are on welfare.
    4. More than 66% of all births in California are to illegal aliens on Medi-CAL, Paid for by U.S. Taxpayer.
    5. Nearly 60% of all occupants of HUD properties in the US are illegal aliens.
    6. More than 39% of California students are illegal aliens.
    7. 75% of La’s most wanted are illegal aliens.
    8. More than half of all gang members are illegal aliens.
    9. US companies are using illegal aliens in 2005 and profited over $2.36 Trillion dollars.
    10. U.S. Taxpayers are footing the bill for all illegal aliens.

    In a new report that was quietly released by the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, ICE admits that since 2010, it has released under orders from the Obama Administration, 124 illegal aliens from jail. While that may not sound like a big deal to many people, especially Liberals, you should also know that those same 124 illegal alien have gone on to be charged with the murder of 138 American Citizens.

    RUBIO LEFT FLORIDA BEHIND AND HAS NOT BEEN SEEN IN FLORIDA FOR TWO YEARS. NOW HE COMES BACK BEGGING FOR VOTES. RUBIO HAS MISSED 101 VOTES IN THE U.S. SENATE. NOW HAS THE WORST VOTING RECORD IN SENATE HISTORY. COLLECTS A CHECK FROM TAXPAYERS AND VANISHES FOR YEARS.

    In the last few days 54 Private Jets flew into a secret conference on a private island off the coast of Georgia. Accommodating personages hidden from the media that was locked out, a group of Billionaires, high Tech CEO’s, the GOP Establishment class and other insiders cooperating the wealthy donors. Their topic, ‘how to steal the Republican nomination from Donald Trump and the American people–So they can all continue to RAPE AMERICA!

  6. Hillary’s campaign is as dead as Rubio’s – she just doesn’t know it yet. “Trust and Honesty” are the most valued attributes nationwide, and she is at the bottom of that list.

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    • Yes. I enjoy mail-in voting. (50%)
    • No. I am going to the poll. (50%)

    Total Voters: 121

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