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Monmouth Poll: Clinton 48 Trump 44; McGinty 47 Toomey 44

clinton-mcgintyHillary Clinton and Katie McGinty are holding on.

That’s according to the latest Monmouth University poll of Pennsylvania.

They found Clinton with 48% while Donald Trump, Gary Johnson and Jill Stein received 44%, 3% and 1% respectively.

In the Senate contest, McGinty is ahead of Pat Toomey 47% to 44%. 3% chose Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford.

These results are a mixed bag for Clinton as she led by ten points in early October. Nonetheless, in the aftermath of James Comey’s letter to Congress she is still ahead. As for McGinty, these are good results considering last month her race was tied.

In fact, just 4% of respondents said the news changed their mind while 89% answered that it had no effect.

Additionally, Monmouth recorded the favorable/unfavorable splits for each candidate:

Clinton – 36% Favorable, 53% Unfavorable

Trump – 32% Favorable, 54% Unfavorable

McGinty – 27% Favorable, 28% Unfavorable

Toomey – 31% Favorable, 30% Unfavorable

Sen. Toomey has a 40% approval rating and a 37% disapproval rating.

The full crosstabs are presented below:


The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from October 29th to November 1st with 403 Pennsylvania residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of +/-4.9%.

6 Responses

  1. Both the Donald and the Toomey are LOSERS. What did Ricky Bobby say: If you aren’t first, you are last.

  2. It is my expectation that Donald Trump will do a lot better than Pat Toomey. The McGinty Toomey could be accurate but I think F&M will be embarrassed this poll. Many are reluctant to publicly declare for Donald Trump (because, as the media been telling us, Donald Trump is racist, sexist, narcissistic fascist who will sell us out to Russia).

    It is likely that McGinty – Toomey poll is more accurate because Pat Toomey has abandoned his base who voted for him in 2010. Pat Toomey is a McConnell Establishment Republican who have financed all of Barack Obama’s policies and his left wing agenda.

  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

    Total Voters: 112

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