A new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows the Democratic candidate with a 7 point lead in the race for the open seat in the newly drawn 7th Congressional district. The poll shows Democratic candidate Susan Wild leading GOP candidate Marty Nothstein 48-41, with the Libertarian candidate Tim Silfies bringing in 5% of the vote “when voters who are less certain but leaning toward a particular candidate are included.”
The Morning Call describes the lead for Wild as a “significant, but not insurmountable edge” over Nothstein. 411 likely voters in the district were interviewed for this poll conducted Oct 14-18. The margin of error is +/- 5.5%.
The candidates share identical numbers on being viewed unfavorably, but the Democrat holds a significant favorable rating advantage.
Wild holds a 41% favorable view, with 32% viewing her unfavorably, 15% unsure, and 12% haven’t heard of her. Nothstein holds a 29% favorable rating, with 32% viewing him unfavorably, 19% unsure, and 21% haven’t heard of him. The Morning Call reports that the Libertarian candidate’s support is evenly distributed among Democratic, Republican, and Independent voters, but most polled haven’t heard of him. 57% polled said they have never heard of Silfies, while 7% view him favorably, 9% unfavorably, and 27% are unsure.
A majority of the newly drawn district was represented by former GOP Rep. Charlie Dent. The article cites Dent as a “rare moderate” who “remains popular among district voters.” 38% polled want the next Congressional representative to have similar political ideology to Dent, while 25% would like the next representative to be more conservative and 25% would like the next representative to be more liberal than the retired Congressman.
The newly drawn district went to Sec. Hillary Clinton by a slim margin in 2016, although those polled were split evenly 44-44 on voting for Clinton and Trump in the Presidential election.
In this poll, Trump is viewed favorably by 42% of those polled, while 54% view him unfavorably.
Out of six options of what is most important to likely voters in the district, economic issues/jobs and healthcare led by a significant margin. 20% polled said economic issues/jobs was the top issue driving congressional voters, with 19% saying healthcare as the top issue. Stopping Trump/electing Democrats and taxes were tied up a 8% each for most important issue, while 5% each selected helping Trump/Republicans and education as the top issue.
45% polled said their Congressional vote is a message that more Democrats are needed to oppose Trump, while 36% said that more Republicans are needed in Congress to support Trump’s agenda.
The full data/story with additional statistics can be found here.