Morning Consult Poll: Biden 49, Trump 45

Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains his lead over President Donald Trump in the Keystone State according to this latest poll, although the gap has narrowed a bit in recent weeks. 

The latest Morning Consult poll of likely voters released on Tuesday morning in Pennsylvania shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45. Biden leads in 9 of the 11 battleground states polled, while Trump has the advantage in Texas and Ohio. The former VP holds larger leads over the president in five other states, (AZ, MI, CO, WI, MN) in comparison to his lead in PA. 

Trump has narrowed the gap just a tad in the state in this latest poll. The Morning Consult poll released prior to the conventions showed Biden with a 6 point lead, 50-to-44, in Pennsylvania. Florida and Pennsylvania are the only two states that moved in Trump’s direction by at least 2 points in this latest poll, while Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin all moved in Biden’s direction by at least 3 points or more. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Morning Consult favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B/C grade. 

A Monmouth University poll of registered voters in the state released on Wednesday showed identical numbers, Biden leading 49-to-45 over Trump. The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.2 points in Pennsylvania. 

This overall poll, surveying 2,182 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Aug. 21-30, has a margin of error of +/-2%. 

The battleground polling can be found here.

13 Responses

  1. Let’s talk about Trumps 1500 people all sitting close together at the RNC at the WH, courtesy of the U.S. taxpayers. Let’s talk about Ivankas 12 trademark exemptions fro China during the height of the trade war.
    BTW, you seem like a sucker who donated to the Steve Bannon’s buy me a yacht fund when you thought he was helping building a wall.

  2. Its amazing its so close when Pelosi, when she is not slinking around salons in violation of her own pronouncements on the virus, Schumer and all use the virus as a weapon, have impeached Trump, led a 4 year media barrage against him, accused him of Russian involvement and stopped his 10,000 people rallies.

    Maybe Hunter Biden’s use of influence to be a millionaire, Joe Biden’s failure to accomplish anything over decades in DC and his choice of VP based solely on race and gende, his pandering to looters, protestors and kneeling pro athletes has something to with Biden’s inability to move ahead.

    1. Let’s talk about Trumps 1500 people all sitting close together at the RNC at the WH, courtesy of the U.S. taxpayers. Let’s talk about Ivankas 12 trademark exemptions fro China during the height of the trade war.
      BTW, you seem like a sucker who donated to the Steve Bannon’s buy me a yacht fund when you thought he was helping building a wall.

      1. Typical liberal, no answer about senile Joe’s mumblings so you deflect attention back to Trump.

        1. Senile? Lmfao! Ask Joe which state The Kansas City Chiefs are out of. Ask Joe what year WWII ended. Ask Joe to pronounce “Yosemite”. Ask Joe if Findland is part of Russia.
          Now I know you wingnuts are of limited intelligence.To think, you moron wingnuts trust Fat Donnie with the nuclear codes

  3. Joe Biden is a different candidate than Hillary Clinton so I’m not sure there is going to be a “hidden Trump” vote that happened last time. Biden needs a big electoral college victory to satisfy his doubters.

  4. That Trump still gets over 40% is a disgrace. PA should be ashamed of its racist stupidity.

    1. Apparently you are ok with Biden’s racial slurs over the years now that he plays the racial gender game.

      1. Donnie isnt the ultimate racist? Mexicans are rapists and thieves. I dont want people from shithole countries. I like people from Norway. Try again!!

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