Morning Consult Poll: Biden 50, Trump 42
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in several key swing states including Pennsylvania, according to this latest polling.
The latest Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the Keystone State shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 50-to-42, while 3% said that they’d vote for someone else, and 5% don’t know. Biden’s lead is beyond the poll’s margin of error.
Biden has extended his lead over Trump in the state in comparison to the previous Morning Consult poll released in late May that showed the former VP besting the president by just 3 points.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Morning Consult favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B/C grade.
While both Biden and Trump remain strong within their party, Independents favor Biden by 12 points, 46-to-34. 8% of Independent voters said that they would vote for someone else and 12% said they don’t know who they will vote for.
According to CBS News exit polling, Trump won the Independent vote in the state by 7 points, 48-to-41, over Sec. Hillary Clinton in the previous presidential election.
89% of Democrats said that they will be voting for Biden, while 8% said that they will vote for Trump, 1% said they’d vote for someone else, and 3% don’t know who they will vote for. 84% of Republicans said that they will be voting for Trump, while 9% said that they’d vote for Biden, 3% said they’d vote for someone else, and 4% said that they don’t know who they will vote for.
These results are pretty consistent with a number of polls in the state.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 7.4 points in Pennsylvania.
This overall poll, surveying 2,092 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between July 17-26, has a margin of error of +/-2.1%.
The battleground polling can be found here.